Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 97.8%
Prognostiker
192
Fragetyp
binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 7 Stunden
Veraltet30. Dez. 23, 20:07 UTC1. Jan. 29, 05:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Usha Vance convert to Christianity before the election?
Manifold MarketsWill Aella convert to sexually conservative Christianity by the end of [year]?
Manifold MarketsWill @aella revert to Christianity within 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWill the following people convert to Christianity before 2030? [Add Answers]
Manifold MarketsWhat countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiWill the percentage of Americans identifying as Christian drop below 20% before 2100?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Justin Murphy predicts I'll reconvert to Christianity: https://twitter.com/jmrphy/status/1741150091874902347 For the purposes of this market (based on Justin's description), it cannot be liberal Christianity, it has to be a version of Christianity that requires some sort of sexual conservatism.
- edit: Made this before seeing someone else beat me to it: https://manifold.markets/jacobsaysheyyy/will-aella-revert-to-christianity-w?r=amFjb2JzYXlzaGV5eXk
