Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 97.8%
Prognostiker
192
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet30. Dez. 23, 20:07 UTC1. Jan. 29, 05:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Usha Vance convert to Christianity before the election?
Manifold MarketsWill Aella convert to sexually conservative Christianity by the end of [year]?
Manifold MarketsWill @aella revert to Christianity within 5 years?
Manifold MarketsWill the following people convert to Christianity before 2030? [Add Answers]
Manifold MarketsIf Jesus Christ returns, will the US confirm aliens exist before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhat countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Justin Murphy predicts I'll reconvert to Christianity: https://twitter.com/jmrphy/status/1741150091874902347 For the purposes of this market (based on Justin's description), it cannot be liberal Christianity, it has to be a version of Christianity that requires some sort of sexual conservatism.
- edit: Made this before seeing someone else beat me to it: https://manifold.markets/jacobsaysheyyy/will-aella-revert-to-christianity-w?r=amFjb2JzYXlzaGV5eXk
