Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 79.4%
Prognostiker
21
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
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Aktualisiert vor 2 Stunden
Veraltet31. Okt. 25, 03:11 UTC7. Nov. 28, 23:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will I (Aella) convert to Christianity by the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Scott Alexander convert to Christianity before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill the following people convert to Christianity before 2030? [Add Answers]
Manifold MarketsWill JD Vance and Usha Vance announce a divorce by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the US have a Jewish president by 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill the 2028 Presidential Election winner be Catholic?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Must be a public announcement, interview question answer, or similar by the Vance family.
- As reported by mainstream media.
- If the announcement is from someone other than Usha, may wait a bit to resolve to see if there is consensus about it.
