Will Scott Alexander convert to Christianity before 2030?
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Daten vom 25.10.2026, 20:40 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 89.5%
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111
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Methodik
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Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet18. Juni 23, 03:15 UTC1. Jan. 30, 05:00 UTC
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There seems to be a small but significant trend of people from the Rationalist movement eventually converting to Christianity, despite how diametrically opposed their previous beliefs seemed to any sort of religious fideism.
- This market will resolve as YES if at any time before January 1st, 2030, Scott Alexander publicly announces conversion to self-identified Christianity (i.e. even if it's a sect like JW or Mormonism where some people doubt if they're "real Christians," if he identifies as Christian, it counts).
