KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Luis Antonio Tagle 5%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
59 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
4,3 €
Liquidität
23.014,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
0.8 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
18. Juli 25, 14:00 UTC1. Jan. 70, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What countries will Pope Leo visit in 2026?
KalshiWill Taylor Swift meet with Pope Leo XIV before 2027?
KalshiWill Peter Thiel become the next Pope? (Pope Thiel)
Manifold MarketsWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
PredictItDonald Trump becomes a Pope-like figure?
Manifold MarketsWill Pope Leo XIV visit first the U.S. or Ukraine?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If the named outcome becomes the first person elected Pope before Jan 1, 2070, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
Religion
POLYMARKETWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?
- No99%
- Yes1%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 56,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 12.966,1 €
KALSHIWill California recognize Jewish identity as an ethnicity?
- No99%
- Yes-49.0pt1%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10.524 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 9517 €
POLYMARKETWill the Catholic Church publicly excommunicate anyone else in 2026?
- No+1.0pt90%
- Yes-1.0pt10%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 797,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- —
PREDICTITWill the Pope excommunicate JD Vance before 2028?
- No96%
- Yes4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 673,9 €
- 24h-Volumen
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Trump post another religious image deifying himself?
- Yes70%
- No30%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 16.539,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 94,9 €
FUTUURRestrictions on the use of the Traditional Latin Mass in the Catholic Church: loosened in 2026?
- No81%
- Yes19%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 3,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- —
- GutsickGibbon has agreed to teach evolution to creationist Will Duffy. Will Pastor Duffy change his mind? (Rules below)
- Will the next pope convene Vatican 3?
- Catholic Church in Germany ordains women before Christmas 2028?
- Will the Catholic and Eastern Orthodox Churches reconcile before 2050?
- Will membership in the LDS church decline YoY in any year between now and 2030
- Will @Austin Chen still believe in God at the end of 2026?
- What percentage of humans will follow Islam in 2100?
- Will there be a trend spike for the term "Animism" before 2035?
- Will Robin Hanson adopt a religion by mid 2028
- Scientology loses IRS Tax-exempt status
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who will the next Pope be??
- Kalshi bewertet Luis Antonio Tagle mit 5% (Stand: 9. September 2026).
- Wann wird Who will the next Pope be? entschieden?
- Who will the next Pope be? soll am 1. Januar 2070 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Who will the next Pope be? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If the named outcome becomes the first person elected Pope before Jan 1, 2070, then the market resolves to Yes.