Chainlink

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?

2.0 Pkt. (24h)3Mon

Chainlink (LINK)

-2.0pt42%

Ethereum (ETH)

-4.0pt37%

Bitcoin (BTC)

-3.0pt34%

+7 weitere Ergebnisse

Zugehörige Kryptos

BTC

DOGE

LTC

Mittlere Qualität (68)Mittlerer SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit

Gesamtvolumen691.491,1 $

24h-Volumen2920,8 $

KALSHI

What price will Chainlink hit in 2026?

10.5 Pkt. (24h)3Mon

↑ 14

+8.4pt100%

↓ 12

+22.4pt100%

↓ 10

+32.5pt100%

+12 weitere Ergebnisse

Zugehörige Kryptos

LINK

Niedrige Qualität (40)Breiter SpreadMittlere LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung

Gesamtvolumen50.809 $

24h-Volumen214,1 $

POLYMARKET

What price will Chainlink hit in September?

2.5 Pkt. (24h)21T

↑ 12

+48.0pt100%

↓ 12

+50.0pt100%

↓ 10

+0.5pt52%

+9 weitere Ergebnisse

Zugehörige Kryptos

LINK

Niedrige Qualität (32)Spread unbekanntMittlere LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung

Gesamtvolumen731,2 $

24h-Volumen40,3 $

POLYMARKET

Exit valuation of Haven (YC S23)?

Less than $10M or bankrupt

64.7%

$10M - $100M

12.6%

$100M - $1B

12.6%

+1 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose3 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 21 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030?

Nein

86%

14%

Community-Prognose12 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 21 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Exit valuation of Chatter (YC S23)?

$10M - $100M

45.4%

Less than $10M or bankrupt

44.5%

$100M - $1B

6.8%

+1 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose6 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 22 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Of the top 18 jobs in the US in the year 2022, which one will be first to lose at least 1/2 of its workers?

Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers (2022 value: 2.0m)

18.9%

Customer Service Representatives (2022 value: 2.9m)

16.2%

Office Clerks, General (2022 value: 2.5m)

12.6%

+15 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose13 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 22 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

In what year will humans have more sex with robots than with other humans

Never

38.6%

2030-2040

20%

2040-2050

10.6%

+8 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose10 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 22 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Link speak in the Zelda movie?

91.7%

Nein

8.3%

Community-Prognose22 PrognostikerTyp: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Who DOSsed Finnish Defence Ministry web pages? (suggest answers, may take time to resolve)

Russia

29.6%

Malta

9.5%

Iran

+6 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose3 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Days without sunspots in 2026.

3Mon

44.6%

27.2%

10.7%

+3 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose3 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

🌐Which social platforms will reach 500M or more users by the end of 2030? [ADD RESPONSES]

81%

Discord

73.8%

Twitch

59%

+17 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose13 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 1 Stunde

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Who is the unidentified person on the cover of Sgt. Pepper's Lonely Hearts Club Band?

Screamin' Jay Hawkins

25.1%

Charlie Chaplin

25.1%

Amelia Earhart

24.6%

+1 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose3 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 2 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Messi vs Ronaldo: who's gonna have more career goals? 🥅

Cristiano Ronaldo

86.2%

Leo Messi

13.8%

Community-Prognose10 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 2 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Manifold Meta-Futarchy 2026

3Mon

https://manifold.markets/Stralor/manifold-the-site-2026-prop-bets

43%

https://manifold.markets/ian/we-sell-2x-the-boosts-if-a-boost-gi

12.1%

https://manifold.markets/Stralor/how-much-mana-revenue-will-manifold

11.8%

Community-Prognose18 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 2 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

When will consumer AI be able to read me a book

Before Jan 1, 2029

50%

Before Jan 1, 2028

39%

Before January 1, 2027

37%

+1 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose8 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 5 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

No Game No Life season 2 release date?

3Mon

Never

32.8%

Announced in 2030-2040

29.7%

Announced in 2027-2028

15.6%

+3 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose4 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 5 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Exit valuation of CambioML (YC S23)?

Less than $10M or bankrupt

60%

$10M - $100M

14.3%

$100M - $1B

14.3%

+1 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose2 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 7 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

At the end of 2075 which country will have the tallest standing building?

United Arab Emirates

11.7%

United States

11.3%

China

11%

+16 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose23 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 8 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Exit valuation of Spine AI (YC S23)?

Less than $10M or bankrupt

60%

$10M - $100M

14.3%

$100M - $1B

14.3%

+1 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose2 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 9 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will guzey.com have a crypto or cashapp/venmo donate link by EOY2026?

3Mon

Nein

69.2%

30.8%

Community-Prognose2 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 10 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which country will be the next to become an official member state of the United Nations?

Bougainville

33%

Somaliland

18.5%

Kosovo

7.3%

+13 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose41 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 14 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which publicly traded US companies will do a purely-LLM-performance-based layoff in 2026?

3Mon

Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META)

31.3%

Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN)

25.8%

Google/Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOG)

18.3%

+1 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose10 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 15 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Cine va avea primul sistem de tren metropolitan din Romania?

TPBI

70%

Asociatia de Transport Brasov

10%

Primaria Cluj Napoca

10%

+1 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose1 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 7 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

🎽Which of these sports will be in the Olympics at least once before the end of 2036? [ADD RESPONSES]

10J

Squash

98.9%

Cricket

93.1%

Lacrosse

80.6%

+22 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose39 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 7 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election

3Mon

National

65.3%

Labour

34.7%

Community-Prognose7 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 8 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

🍔Which of these countries without McDonald's currently will get a location before the end of 2029? [ADD RESPONSES]

Belize

50%

Rwanda

41.4%

Bosnia and Herzegovina (reopen)

39.7%

+18 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose14 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 8 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Conditional on adopting this pfp, will @zagrebbi reach 25k Twitter followers by April 10, 2028?

Front-facing portrait, plaid shirt

73.3%

Side profile, plaid shirt

72.1%

Outdoor sweater photo

70.4%

+10 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose13 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 9 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Of these potential 2028 candidates for president, who will be the first 3 to officially run?

Gavin newsom

37.8%

Jb pritzker

37.8%

Pete buttigieg

31%

+10 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose6 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 22 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which of these outcomes of the NYT vs. OpenAI lawsuit will occur?

The case settles before a verdict is reached.

51.8%

The case settles for more than $10 million before a verdict is reached.

50.5%

Disney sues OpenAI for copyright infringement before the NYT case concludes.

33.1%

+16 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose219 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 9 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Who Will Sponsor My Episode for $25K With Robin Hanson if It Exists?

23T

Nobody

37.4%

Someone else for less than $25K

36.1%

Manifold

8.8%

+2 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose5 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 22 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will UK job vacancies increase?

September 2026

44%

March 2026

April 2026

+4 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose17 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Who will be appointed as next Ajax manager? (suggest options)

3Mon

Paul Simonis

0.2%

Iñigo Pérez

0.2%

Mark van Bommel

0.2%

+5 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose7 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 19 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Who will be the first user to reach 10M mana in profit?

@semioticrivalry

28.8%

@jacksonpolack

@jim

7.6%

+13 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose38 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 2 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which cryptocurrencies will have a market cap of at least $100 billion at the end of 2026?

3Mon

Bitcoin

94.9%

Tether USDt

93.2%

Ethereum

87.7%

+4 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose17 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 21 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which cryptocurrencies will have obviously failed by the end of 2026? (Add your own)

3Mon

LINK - Chainlink

50%

XLM - Stellar

50%

Polkadot

43.1%

+11 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose39 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 18 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What will happen as a result of the Charlie Kirk assassination?

Shooter captured alive before Oct. 1st

100%

Charlie Kirk receives Presidential Medal of Freedom

100%

Evan permabanned from Manifold

100%

+59 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose252 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

🌐 Which of the fifty most-visited websites today will still be in the top 50 in a decade? (2024-2034)

Wikipedia

94%

Amazon

88.3%

Youtube

85.1%

+47 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose36 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 5 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How many days in 2026 will have no police related deaths in the USA?

3Mon

19.6%

14.1%

9.4%

+11 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose10 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 19 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What would be true about the first Manifold question to be featured in an r/all post? (Reddit's daily top content)

3Mon

AI related

53.8%

LLM related

50%

will be a MC market that allows people to add responses

50%

+5 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose10 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 20 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

At end of year 2026, how difficult will it be to obtain feminizing HRT as an adult in blue states?

3Mon

About the same as in 2024

63.5%

Notably more difficult than in 2024

27.7%

Notably easier than in 2024

5.5%

+1 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose68 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 18 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?

3Mon

Moonshot (Kimi)

100%

Baidu (Ernie)

100%

OpenAI

100%

+14 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose21 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 18 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Waymo and Uber die due to Tesla Robotaxi Service by 2028

Tesla Robotaxi Dies

14.8%

Uber Dies

3.8%

Waymo Dies

2.7%

Community-Prognose24 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 1 Stunde

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Twitter / x.com blocked in the EU or Europe? Multimarket for dates

14J

July 1 2033

55.7%

July 1 2034

55.7%

July 1 2035

50%

+23 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose15 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 4 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?

3Mon

Anthropic / Claude

100%

Alphabet / Google Deepmind / Gemini

100%

OpenAI / ChatGPT

70%

+7 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose14 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 6 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which of Ars Technica's Starship timeline predictions will be accurate?

In-space second stage raptor relight in Q4 2024 or Q1 2025

100%

Uncrewed lunar landing in Q1, Q2, or Q3 2027

25.8%

Crewed lunar landing in Q3 or Q4 2028

19.7%

+4 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose33 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 2 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How Low Will Donald Trumps Approval get in 2026?

3Mon

40.0% or below?

100%

39.0% or below?

100%

38.0% or below?

100%

+9 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose30 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 22 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What organization will be the first to create AGI?

Anthropic

29.2%

OpenAI

22.7%

DeepMind

18.8%

+9 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose224 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 6 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Zugehörige Krypto-Assets

Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?

What price will Chainlink hit in 2026?

What price will Chainlink hit in September?

Exit valuation of Haven (YC S23)?

Will the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030?

Exit valuation of Chatter (YC S23)?

Of the top 18 jobs in the US in the year 2022, which one will be first to lose at least 1/2 of its workers?

In what year will humans have more sex with robots than with other humans

Will Link speak in the Zelda movie?

Who DOSsed Finnish Defence Ministry web pages? (suggest answers, may take time to resolve)

Days without sunspots in 2026.

🌐Which social platforms will reach 500M or more users by the end of 2030? [ADD RESPONSES]

Who is the unidentified person on the cover of Sgt. Pepper's Lonely Hearts Club Band?

Messi vs Ronaldo: who's gonna have more career goals? 🥅

Manifold Meta-Futarchy 2026

When will consumer AI be able to read me a book

No Game No Life season 2 release date?

Exit valuation of CambioML (YC S23)?

At the end of 2075 which country will have the tallest standing building?

Exit valuation of Spine AI (YC S23)?

Will guzey.com have a crypto or cashapp/venmo donate link by EOY2026?

Which country will be the next to become an official member state of the United Nations?

Which publicly traded US companies will do a purely-LLM-performance-based layoff in 2026?

Cine va avea primul sistem de tren metropolitan din Romania?

🎽Which of these sports will be in the Olympics at least once before the end of 2036? [ADD RESPONSES]

Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election

🍔Which of these countries without McDonald's currently will get a location before the end of 2029? [ADD RESPONSES]

Conditional on adopting this pfp, will @zagrebbi reach 25k Twitter followers by April 10, 2028?

Of these potential 2028 candidates for president, who will be the first 3 to officially run?

Which of these outcomes of the NYT vs. OpenAI lawsuit will occur?

Who Will Sponsor My Episode for $25K With Robin Hanson if It Exists?

Will UK job vacancies increase?

Who will be appointed as next Ajax manager? (suggest options)

Who will be the first user to reach 10M mana in profit?

Which cryptocurrencies will have a market cap of at least $100 billion at the end of 2026?

Which cryptocurrencies will have obviously failed by the end of 2026? (Add your own)

What will happen as a result of the Charlie Kirk assassination?

🌐 Which of the fifty most-visited websites today will still be in the top 50 in a decade? (2024-2034)

How many days in 2026 will have no police related deaths in the USA?

What would be true about the first Manifold question to be featured in an r/all post? (Reddit's daily top content)

At end of year 2026, how difficult will it be to obtain feminizing HRT as an adult in blue states?

Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?

Will Waymo and Uber die due to Tesla Robotaxi Service by 2028

Twitter / x.com blocked in the EU or Europe? Multimarket for dates

Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?

Which of Ars Technica's Starship timeline predictions will be accurate?

How Low Will Donald Trumps Approval get in 2026?

What organization will be the first to create AGI?

Gesuchte Märkte