Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?

Chainlink Corporate ActionsOne-OffKI Technik5Mon

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriert

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Moonshot (Kimi) 100%

Führend unter 17 Optionen

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 15 Minuten

27. Nov. 25, 9:4031. Dez. 26, 23:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Safe Superintelligence / SSI17%

Einsatz (USDT)

Regeln

Chatbot Arena Leaderboard or iterations/new versions of it as creator sees fit.

If the project is altogether abandoned with no equivalent, the answers that have not yet resolved YES will resolve NO at EOY unless some replacement appears.
Stylecontrol removed, i.e. this link.
Feel free to add names, I will try to control them as they come in to avoid duplicates or other types of confusion.
Feel free to add major labs that feel ~guaranteed to be top 10 at some point, which is why I focused on more interesting questions.
Since some of the labs are obscure, I appreciate input on name changes, acquisitions etc.

Verwandte Märkte

Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?

31,8 €

OpenAI / ChatGPT: 70%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which of Ars Technica's Starship timeline predictions will be accurate?

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In-space second stage raptor relight in Q4 2024 or Q1 2025: 100%

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Will Waymo and Uber die due to Tesla Robotaxi Service by 2028

35,1 €

Waymo Dies: 2.7%

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Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

55.051,2 €

↑$1.1T: 100%

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by July 31?

5500 €

↑$1.15T: 26%

POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

4276,5 €

SpaceX: 87%

POLYMARKET

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Regeln

Chatbot Arena Leaderboard or iterations/new versions of it as creator sees fit.

If the project is altogether abandoned with no equivalent, the answers that have not yet resolved YES will resolve NO at EOY unless some replacement appears.
Stylecontrol removed, i.e. this link.
Feel free to add names, I will try to control them as they come in to avoid duplicates or other types of confusion.
Feel free to add major labs that feel ~guaranteed to be top 10 at some point, which is why I focused on more interesting questions.
Since some of the labs are obscure, I appreciate input on name changes, acquisitions etc.

Who will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?

Chainlink Corporate ActionsOne-OffKI Technik5Mon

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriert

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Moonshot (Kimi) 100%

Führend unter 17 Optionen

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

multiple choice

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 15 Minuten

27. Nov. 25, 9:4031. Dez. 26, 23:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Safe Superintelligence / SSI17%

Einsatz (USDT)

Regeln

Chatbot Arena Leaderboard or iterations/new versions of it as creator sees fit.

If the project is altogether abandoned with no equivalent, the answers that have not yet resolved YES will resolve NO at EOY unless some replacement appears.
Stylecontrol removed, i.e. this link.
Feel free to add names, I will try to control them as they come in to avoid duplicates or other types of confusion.
Feel free to add major labs that feel ~guaranteed to be top 10 at some point, which is why I focused on more interesting questions.
Since some of the labs are obscure, I appreciate input on name changes, acquisitions etc.

Verwandte Märkte

Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?

31,8 €

OpenAI / ChatGPT: 70%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which of Ars Technica's Starship timeline predictions will be accurate?

43,9 €

In-space second stage raptor relight in Q4 2024 or Q1 2025: 100%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Waymo and Uber die due to Tesla Robotaxi Service by 2028

35,1 €

Waymo Dies: 2.7%

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

55.051,2 €

↑$1.1T: 100%

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by July 31?

5500 €

↑$1.15T: 26%

POLYMARKET

Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?

4276,5 €

SpaceX: 87%

POLYMARKET

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$64,686.42-0.70%

SolanaSOL$75.37-0.86%

EthereumETH$1,935.48-0.07%

BNBBNB$572.93-0.35%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0717-1.94%

XRPXRP$1.08-2.32%

Verwandte Nachrichten

Coinbase Opens Payment Rails for AI Agents as Corporate Clients Accept Autonomous TransactionsBlockchain Reporter

Google Ships New Gemini Flash Models, But Pro Is Still MissingDecrypt

Google Is Building an AI Chip Just for Gemini—And Investors Already Moved On ItDecrypt

WhiteBIT Launches AI Hub: Trade, Monitor and Automate Through Your Favourite AI AssistantBlockchain Reporter

Over 95% of Coinbase’s code is now written with AICointelegraph

DeepSeek plots $71B IPO to challenge OpenAI in global AI raceCrypto News

Regeln

Chatbot Arena Leaderboard or iterations/new versions of it as creator sees fit.

If the project is altogether abandoned with no equivalent, the answers that have not yet resolved YES will resolve NO at EOY unless some replacement appears.
Stylecontrol removed, i.e. this link.
Feel free to add names, I will try to control them as they come in to avoid duplicates or other types of confusion.
Feel free to add major labs that feel ~guaranteed to be top 10 at some point, which is why I focused on more interesting questions.
Since some of the labs are obscure, I appreciate input on name changes, acquisitions etc.