Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 16.07.2026, 11:00 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-2
Aktuelle Community-Prognose40.0% or below? 100%Führend unter 12 Optionen
Prognostiker
25
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Tagen
Veraltet2. März 26, 7:4831. Dez. 26, 10:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
38.0% or below?71%
Volumentrend
$2015. Juli2T Daten16. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Which of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
3025,8 €Ripple (XRP): 28%
KALSHI
KALSHITwitter / x.com blocked in the EU or Europe? Multimarket for dates
359,5 €July 1 2025: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will the Russian invasion of Ukraine end? ($1000M sub)
235,8 €2023: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat organization will be the first to create AGI?
178,3 €OpenAI: 24.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What price will Chainlink hit in July?
175,8 €↑ 8: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
33,8 €↑ 14: 100%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.News
Dick Durbin accuses Todd Blanche of shielding Trump’s crypto empireCrypto NewsRegeln
Resolves according to vote hub: https://votehub.com/polls/ Average of polls.
- See image below for figure to be used.
- We will use the approve number to resolve this market.
- Just has to show once on the graph, does not have to stay below that number until the end of the year.
- If votehub shuts down I’ll find another reliable source
- Year ends at December 31 11.59pm Eastern Time.