Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätQuelldaten beeinträchtigt
Daten vom 25.10.2026, 16:20 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle Community-Prognose40.0% or below? 100%Führend unter 12 Optionen
Prognostiker
33
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Stunden
Veraltet2. März 26, 07:48 UTC31. Dez. 26, 10:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What are Donald Trumps real goals in relation with Greenland?
Manifold MarketsWill another pandemic occur under Donald Trumps Presidency?
Manifold MarketsWill a major war in Asia occur during Donald Trumps Presidency?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these outcomes of the NYT vs. OpenAI lawsuit will occur?
Manifold MarketsOf these potential 2028 candidates for president, who will be the first 3 to officially run?
Manifold MarketsWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Resolves according to vote hub: https://votehub.com/polls/ Average of polls.
- See image below for figure to be used.
- We will use the approve number to resolve this market.
- Just has to show once on the graph, does not have to stay below that number until the end of the year.
- If votehub shuts down I’ll find another reliable source
- Year ends at December 31 11.59pm Eastern Time.
