Aktuelle Community-Prognose
National 65.3%
Prognostiker
7
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet6. März 26, 06:39 UTC24. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
After the 2026 New Zealand general election, which parties will form a government?
Manifold MarketsWhich parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?
PolymarketWill the CAQ still form the government after QC general election in 2026 ?
Manifold MarketsWill Opportunities Party get at least one seat in the next New Zealand General Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich coalition will form the next New Zealand government?
PolymarketNew Zealand general election winner?
KalshiRegeln
Resolution criteria
- The election will be held on 7 November 2026.
- The market resolves to whichever main party (National or Labour) forms the government following the election.
- A party must demonstrate to the Governor-General that they have the confidence of the House by securing a majority of votes in a confidence motion and getting a budget through parliament.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the Governor-General and the New Zealand government regarding which party leader is appointed Prime Minister.
- See: https://www.beehive.govt.nz/ and https://gg.govt.nz/
Offene Märkte
ChainlinkKALSHIWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
- Chainlink (LINK)-12.0pt41%
- Bitcoin (BTC)-1.0pt37%
- Solana (SOL)-4.0pt30%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 593.613,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 1900 €
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
- ↑ 14+8.4pt100%
- ↓ 12+22.4pt100%
- ↓ 10+32.5pt100%
+12 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in September?
- ↑ 12+48.0pt100%
- ↑ 1451%
- ↓ 1051%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Haven (YC S23)?
- Less than $10M or bankrupt64.7%
- $10M - $100M12.6%
- $100M - $1B12.6%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 43 €
- 24h-Volumen
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030?
- No86%
- Yes14%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 271,5 €
- 24h-Volumen
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Chatter (YC S23)?
- $10M - $100M45.4%
- Less than $10M or bankrupt44.5%
- $100M - $1B6.8%
+1 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 101,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election?
- Manifold Markets bewertet National mit 65% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election entschieden?
- Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election soll am 24. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolution criteria