Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Labour 52%+9.4pt
Prognostiker
16
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-3.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Stunden
Veraltet6. März 26, 06:39 UTC24. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
After the 2026 New Zealand general election, which parties will form a government?
Manifold MarketsWho will be a part of the next government of New Zealand?
Manifold MarketsWhich parties will be part of the next government of New Zealand?
PolymarketWho will be a part of the next government of New Zealand?
KalshiWho will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?
KalshiWill the CAQ still form the government after QC general election in 2026 ?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolution criteria
- The election will be held on 7 November 2026.
- The market resolves to whichever main party (National or Labour) forms the government following the election.
- A party must demonstrate to the Governor-General that they have the confidence of the House by securing a majority of votes in a confidence motion and getting a budget through parliament.
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the Governor-General and the New Zealand government regarding which party leader is appointed Prime Minister.
- See: https://www.beehive.govt.nz/ and https://gg.govt.nz/