Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Labour 53%+8.8ptFührend unter 10 Optionen
Labour 53%+8.8ptPrognostiker
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Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-3.0 pts
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Aktualisiert vor 7 Minuten
22. Aug. 24, 00:03 UTC2. Jan. 27, 07:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election
Manifold MarketsFollowing the 2026 New Zealand election, which parties will be represented in parliament?
Manifold MarketsWhat combination of parties will form executive government after the 2026 Victorian state election?
Manifold MarketsWho will get Israel's first mandate to form a government?
KalshiWill the CAQ still form the government after QC general election in 2026 ?
Manifold MarketsNew Zealand general election winner?
KalshiRegeln
Parties with ministers inside cabinet are considered part of forming a government.
- Parties who do not have ministers inside cabinet are not considered part of the government for the resolution of this question.
- So, in 2020, a similar question would only resolve positively for Labour.
- In 2023, it would resolve positively for National, the named outcome, and ACT.
- I will add new parties on request from 1 January 2026 if they are officially registered, or as I judge to be worthwhile adding.
- Parties included so far are those that ran in both 2020 and 2023.
