Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-Prognose
National Party 64.6%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Prognostiker
23
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+20.1 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet17. Sept. 24, 05:51 UTC19. Dez. 26, 10:59 UTC
Trends
0.3%
0.2%
0.2%
0.2%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election?
Manifold MarketsWill Opportunities Party get at least one seat in the next New Zealand General Election?
Manifold MarketsWhich main party will form a Government after the 2026 New Zealand General Election
Manifold MarketsNew Zealand general election winner?
KalshiPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegeln
The next New Zealand general election is to be held on or before Saturday, 19 December 2026, most likely in November 2026 although it could be called at any time.
- Will be resolved based on the results available at https://electionresults.govt.nz/.
- Resolution will be for the largest party, not necessarily the party that enters government.
- Largest party will be by number of seats, using party vote percent if there is a tie.
Offene Märkte
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 605,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 697.653 €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 603,2 Mio. €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 183,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 471.295,9 €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Largest party in the next New Zealand general election??
- Manifold Markets bewertet National Party mit 65% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Largest party in the next New Zealand general election? entschieden?
- Largest party in the next New Zealand general election? soll am 19. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Largest party in the next New Zealand general election? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: The next New Zealand general election is to be held on or before Saturday, 19 December 2026, most likely in November 2026 although it could be called at any time.