Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Labour coalition 49.4%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Prognostiker
24
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
-0.3 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Stunden
Veraltet2. Jan. 26, 02:49 UTC16. Okt. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Largest party in the next New Zealand general election?
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KalshiRegeln
Resolves to the first government formation after the next New Zealand election (if it's postponed beyond 2026, resolves to the next election after that).
- "Other" might include a grand coalition containing both National and Labour, or a government of small parties without either major party.
- Labour/National need not be the largest party in their coalition for their respective options to resolve, and they may govern alone.
- "the named outcome" means that a new election happens without a non-caretaker government being formed.
- Update 2026-01-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Coalition governments include:
- Minority governments
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Labour coalition mit 49% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election? entschieden?
- What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election? soll am 16. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird What will be the outcome of the 2026 New Zealand General Election? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves to the first government formation after the next New Zealand election (if it's postponed beyond 2026, resolves to the next election after that).