KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitHunter Biden 18%Führend unter 36 Optionen
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
959,5 €
Liquidität
219.214,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
18.0% / 20.0%
Spread
11.1%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
24. Juli 25, 22:151. Jan. 28, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Hunter Biden18%
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Who will run for the 2028 Democratic nomination for the presidency? [Add Answers]
8Mon
3.9%
47.9%
50.9%
+25 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose104 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
Gesamtvolumen14.974,8 €
24h-Volumen45,5 €
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
If Cory Booker announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Hunter Biden announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Gavin Newsom announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Josh Shapiro announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Pete Buttigieg announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Gretchen Whitmer announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Verwandte Märkte
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
525.153,9 €Gavin Newsom: 21%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Colorado Senate primary margin of victory?
467.843,9 €John Hickenlooper, ≥9%: 2%KALSHI
KALSHI
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
431.538,2 €Robert F. Kennedy: 49%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Presidential Election Winner 2028
377.730,7 €JD Vance: 20%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2028 Democratic presidential nominee
370.024,8 €Hunter Biden: 0%KALSHI
KALSHI
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
125.702,7 €James Fishback: 4%KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If Cory Booker announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Hunter Biden announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Gavin Newsom announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Josh Shapiro announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Pete Buttigieg announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Gretchen Whitmer announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Democratic party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.