Who will run for the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
1.0 Pkt. (24h)One-OffPolitikUS PoliticsWahl1J
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGrob kalibriertAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitJ.D. Vance 78%Führend unter 34 Optionen
Marktqualitat
67 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1470,2 €
Liquidität
143.565,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
10.0% / 13.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Minuten
22. März 25, 14:001. Jan. 28, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Donald J. Trump12%
Plattformen vergleichen· J.D. Vance
Sortiert nach Marktqualität, dann Liquidität und 24-h-Volumen| Plattform | Qualität | Wahrscheinlichkeit | vs. Referenz | 24h Vol | Liq | Aktualität | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiDiese SeiteBeste insgesamt | Mittel | 78% | — | 1470,2 € | 143.565,6 € | vor 17 Minuten | |
 Manifold Markets88% Übereinstimmung · geprüft | — | 84% | — | — | — | vor 16 Tagen | Öffnen → |
Auch verfügbar auf Manifold Markets
Who will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?
1J
83.5%
60.9%
59.1%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
Community-Prognose59 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRegeln
Vance announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Donald J.
- Trump announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump Jr. announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Tulsi Gabbard announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Ron DeSantis announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
Volumentrend
$1.7k2. Juli27T Daten28. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Florida Republican Governor nominee?
625.657,9 €James Fishback: 3%KALSHI
KALSHI
Presidential Election Winner 2028
394.261,3 €JD Vance: 20%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Ohio Governor winner?
348.077,1 €Vivek Ramaswamy: 51%KALSHI
KALSHI
Florida Republican Governor primary: James Fishback vote percent
238.810 €At least 1%: 95%KALSHI
KALSHI
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
227.248,9 €Gavin Newsom: 19%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Who will be the next Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
211.074,3 €Gadi Eizenkot: 52%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
Verwandte Nachrichten
Polymarket odds swing: Eizenkot hits 51% as Israel campaign kicks offBlockchain.News
Polymarket: Vance leads 2028 at 19.85% as pricing trend softensBlockchain.News
White House pushes Senate Democrats to take 'historic' crypto Clarity Act ethics dealCoindesk
Senate nears bipartisan CLARITY Act deal after ethics breakthroughCrypto News
White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph
Polymarket odds show Vance at 19.85% as Epstein files critique hits tapeBlockchain.NewsRegeln
Vance announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Donald J.
- Trump announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Trump Jr. announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Tulsi Gabbard announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Ron DeSantis announces a presidential campaign to contest the presidential nomination of the Republican party for the 2028 U.S. presidential election before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.