Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognosePete Buttigieg 85%Führend unter 53 Optionen
Prognostiker
163
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 19 Stunden
Veraltet10. Okt. 23, 15:00 UTC17. Juni 28, 06:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom be the two frontrunners for the 2028 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
Manifold MarketsWhat type of candidate will win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Manifold MarketsWill the winner of the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination contest in American Samoa win any other contest?
Manifold MarketsWho will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
KalshiWho will run for the Republican presidential nomination in 2028?
Manifold MarketsMongolian Democratic Party presidential nomination winner?
KalshiRegeln
This market uses the new Unlinked Multiple Choice format.
- The probabilites of each answer are independent of the other answers.
- Individual answers can resolve early, while the market as a whole remains open.
- Any person who appears in Wikipedia's "major candidates" section, at any time, for the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries will resolve YES.
- The criteria here are:
- The candidates in this section have declared their candidacies and meet one or more of the following criteria: campaign has received substantial major media coverage; current or previous holder of significant elected office (president, vice president, governor, U.S. senator, U.S. representative); have been included in at least five national polls.
