Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand?
PolitikOne-OffChessUS PoliticsWahlSport6Mon
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätKeine Handelsaktivität
Daten vom 10.09.2026, 19:31 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-3
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
National 0%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
31 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
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Liquidität
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Liquidität unbekanntSpread
7.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
10. Sept. 26, 02:00 UTC15. März 27, 14:00 UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRegeln
If a coalition that includes National makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.
- A party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government.
- This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances).
- A party governing alone qualifies under this ministerial-position test.
- A confidence and supply arrangement (or any analogous agreement), where a party does not hold formal cabinet or ministerial positions but has publicly agreed, through a formal written agreement or a widely recognized, explicitly stated political deal, to support the government on key votes (e.g., votes of confidence, budget/finance bills) without formally joining the cabinet or government, counts only when expressly specified in the market’s party description.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand??
- Kalshi bewertet National mit 0% (Stand: 10. September 2026).
- Wann wird Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand? entschieden?
- Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand? soll am 15. März 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Who will be a part of the next government of New Zealand? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If a coalition that includes National makes up the next elected ruling government of New Zealand before Mar 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.