Who will be a part of the next government of Israel?
10.0 Pkt. (24h)Corporate ActionsOne-OffUS PoliticsWahlMiddle EastChessSportPolitik1J
KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Yashar 94%Führend unter 20 Optionen
Marktqualitat
51 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1404,2 €
Liquidität
14.217,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
7.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
20. Juli 26, 20:00 UTC1. Jan. 28, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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PolymarketPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiRegeln
If a coalition that includes Likud make up the next elected ruling government of Israel before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.
- A party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government.
- This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances).
- Additionally, A “confidence and supply arrangement” (or any analogous agreement), where a party does not hold formal cabinet or ministerial positions but has publicly agreed, through a formal written agreement or a widely recognized, explicitly stated political deal, to support the government on key votes (e.g., votes of confidence, budget/finance bills) without formally joining the cabinet or government, may be included in the Payout Criterion if specified in parties (e.g. parties could take the form of “The Conservative Party and the Liberal Party” as well as “The Conservative Party with the support of the Greens”).
- If, following the election, a caretaker or interim government is appointed temporarily before the formal government formation, this caretaker period does not count for determining a given party’s status.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who will be a part of the next government of Israel??
- Kalshi bewertet Yashar mit 94% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Who will be a part of the next government of Israel? entschieden?
- Who will be a part of the next government of Israel? soll am 1. Januar 2028 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Who will be a part of the next government of Israel? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If a coalition that includes Likud make up the next elected ruling government of Israel before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.