KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätVeraltete Daten
Daten vom 29.10.2026, 18:42 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
AfD · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Gespeicherter Preis
AfD 60.5%Führend unter 7 Optionen
AfD 60.5%Marktqualitat
26 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
44,1 €
Open Interest
3734,2 $
Mittleres Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
AfDSpread
—
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Stunde
Verzogert21. Aug. 26, 19:00 UTC15. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · AfD
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the next minister-president of Saxony-Anhalt be from AfD?
Manifold MarketsWill Saxony-Anhalt call a snap election in 2026?
KalshiWill Ulrich Siegmund become the Prime Minister of Saxony-Anhalt by the end of the year (2026)?
Manifold MarketsSaxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?
PolymarketWill the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt elect a Ministerpraesident on or before 6 November 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext government of Saxony-Anhalt?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If a coalition that includes AfD make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes. A party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government. This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances).
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- AfD
- If a coalition that includes AfD make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- BSW
- If a coalition that includes BSW make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- CDU
- If a coalition that includes CDU make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Greens
- If a coalition that includes Greens make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- SPD
- If a coalition that includes SPD make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- FDP
- If a coalition that includes FDP make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Die Linke
- If a coalition that includes Die Linke make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.