KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
AfD 42%-20.0ptFührend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
33 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
58,9 €
Liquidität
3806,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
19.0 pt
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
21. Aug. 26, 19:00 UTC15. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the next minister-president of Saxony-Anhalt be from AfD?
Manifold MarketsNext government of Saxony-Anhalt?
Manifold MarketsNext minister president of Saxony-Anhalt?
Manifold MarketsNext Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?
KalshiSaxony-Anhalt state election: Greens vote percent
KalshiHow many seats will AfD win in the Saxony-Anhalt state election?
KalshiRegeln
If a coalition that includes CDU make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is not mutually exclusive and multiple markets may resolve to Yes.
- A party is considered to be part of government if one or more of its representatives hold at least one ministerial or cabinet-level position (including junior ministers or equivalent executive roles, if applicable) in the new government.
- This evaluation shall occur at the first official, stable formation of the government (i.e., once the legislative process for forming a government is complete and the head of state appoints ministers under normal non-caretaker circumstances).
- If a coalition that includes AfD make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a coalition that includes the named outcome make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Offene Märkte
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt??
- Kalshi bewertet AfD mit 42% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt? entschieden?
- Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt? soll am 15. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If a coalition that includes CDU make up the next elected ruling government of Saxony-Anhalt before Jan 15, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.