Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Other 22.9%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Prognostiker
8
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+8.6 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
7. Sept. 26, 02:27 UTC31. Dez. 29, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will be a part of the next government of Saxony-Anhalt?
KalshiNext minister president of Saxony-Anhalt?
Manifold MarketsIf Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority?
Manifold MarketsNext Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?
KalshiSaxony-Anhalt state election: Greens vote percent
KalshiIf nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
Resolves to whichever configuration the next minister president (if any) takes the oath of office under, regardless of how long they remain in office.
- If there is ambiguity about whether an agreement between parties is a coalition or just a tolerated minority government, I'll resolve to "coalition" if there is any form of publicly signed contract between the parties, regardless of whether they call it a coalition contract.
- If somebody is voted into the office of minister president without such a contract being public, that resolves to "minority government" for the party of the minister president.
Offene Märkte
Europe
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt75%
- New People (NL)-3.9pt21%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 22,2 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 494.578,5 €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETFriedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- No-3.0pt84.2%
- Yes+3.0pt15.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 809.348,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 123.374,6 €
POLYMARKETNext Prime Minister of Sweden
- Magdalena Andersson+0.5pt77.5%
- Ulf Kristersson-1.0pt20.6%
- Jimmie Åkesson-0.4pt1%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETECB Interest Rates: September 2026
- 25 bps increase-0.1pt100%
- 50+ bps decrease0%
- 25 bps decrease0%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 3122%
- October 31+2.0pt10%
- December 31, 2025-0.1pt0%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Berlin State Election Winner
- Mecklenburg-Vorpommern Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election Winner
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: M Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: Liberals Win Seats?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: SD Vote Share?
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: 5th Place
- Sweden Parliamentary Election: MP Vote Share?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Next government of Saxony-Anhalt??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Other mit 23% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Next government of Saxony-Anhalt? entschieden?
- Next government of Saxony-Anhalt? soll am 31. Dezember 2029 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Next government of Saxony-Anhalt? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: Resolves to whichever configuration the next minister president (if any) takes the oath of office under, regardless of how long they remain in office.