If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?

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Nein 53.5%

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Aktualisiert vor 18 Stunden

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7. Sept. 26, 02:34 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC

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If Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority?

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Next minister president of Saxony-Anhalt?

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Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?

Kalshi

Will the next minister-president of Saxony-Anhalt be from AfD?

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Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

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Saxony-Anhalt state election: Greens vote percent

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AfD candidate Siegmund claims (with dubious grammar) that that is what would happen: https://www.zeit.de/news/2026-09/06/afd-spitzenkandidat-siegmund-im-notfall-neuwahlen

Resolves YES if they win an absolute majority of seats in parliament, i. e. not necessarily 50% of votes.
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If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?

One-OffEurope Politik Wahl1J

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Nein 53.5%

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

binary

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 18 Stunden

Veraltet

7. Sept. 26, 02:34 UTC31. Dez. 27, 23:59 UTC

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Verwandte Märkte

Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.

If Saxony-Anhalt holds a snap election before 2028, will the AfD win an absolute majority?

Manifold Markets

Next minister president of Saxony-Anhalt?

Manifold Markets

Next Minister-President of Saxony-Anhalt?

Kalshi

Will the next minister-president of Saxony-Anhalt be from AfD?

Manifold Markets

Will AfD win an absolute majority of seats in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

Polymarket

Saxony-Anhalt state election: Greens vote percent

Kalshi

Regeln

AfD candidate Siegmund claims (with dubious grammar) that that is what would happen: https://www.zeit.de/news/2026-09/06/afd-spitzenkandidat-siegmund-im-notfall-neuwahlen

Resolves YES if they win an absolute majority of seats in parliament, i. e. not necessarily 50% of votes.
[link preview]

Datenproblem bei diesem Markt melden

Häufige Fragen

Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election??: Manifold Markets bewertet No mit 54% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
Wann wird If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election? entschieden?: If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election? soll am 31. Dezember 2027 entschieden werden.
Wie wird If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election? abgerechnet?: Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: AfD candidate Siegmund claims (with dubious grammar) that that is what would happen: https://www.zeit.de/news/2026-09/06/afd-spitzenkandidat-siegmund-im-notfall-neuwahlen

If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?

If nobody is elected minister president of Saxony-Anhalt, will the AfD win an absolute majority in the repeat election?

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