Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
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Daten vom 18.07.2026, 08:40 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-2
Aktuelle Community-PrognoseOpenAI / ChatGPT 70%Führend unter 10 Optionen
Prognostiker
13
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Tagen
Veraltet27. Nov. 25, 9:4631. Dez. 26, 23:59
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
OpenAI / ChatGPT70%
Volumentrend
$3616. Juli3T Daten18. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Twitter / x.com blocked in the EU or Europe? Multimarket for dates
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MANIFOLD MARKETS
Which of Ars Technica's Starship timeline predictions will be accurate?
657,3 €In-space second stage raptor relight in Q4 2024 or Q1 2025: 100%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhat organization will be the first to create AGI?
177,8 €OpenAI: 24.1%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
10.206,3 €$2.25–$2.5T: 17%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
When will OpenAI officially announce an IPO?
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KALSHI
KALSHIWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by July 31?
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POLYMARKETIn diesen Themen aktiv
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Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard or iterations/new versions of it as creator sees fit.
- If the project is altogether abandoned with no equivalent, the answers that have not yet resolved YES will resolve NO at EOY unless some replacement appears.
- If multiple shared #1 ranks, as has been the case in the past, any of those positions count.
- If there are no longer ranked numbers, only top spot/ELO would count.
- If same ELO, but second spot for some trivial/irrelevant reason, still resolves YES.
- Answer resolves YES immediately when an update has been confirmed, no matter what duration it stays in top.