Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Google 86.2%+30.5ptFührend unter 5 Optionen
Prognostiker
4
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+66.2 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Stunden
Veraltet4. Okt. 26, 18:57 UTC31. Okt. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Who will ever rank #1 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWho will ever rank Top 10 in LMSYS Chatbot Arena Text Leaderboard in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich lab will have the #1 model on the arena.ai Text leaderboard on October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich lab will have the #1 model on the arena.ai Agent leaderboard on November 2, 2026?
Manifold MarketsNext Google Gemini Pro Model: Arena Debut?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegeln
Which company's model will be ranked #1 on the Arena (formerly LMArena) text leaderboard at the end of October 2026?
- Resolution source: https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text (formerly lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), default view as served to a logged-out visitor, with no filters or categories changed.
- How it resolves: I check the leaderboard as soon as possible after 2026-10-31 23:59 UTC.
- The answer is the company that developed the model listed in first position (highest Score).
- If the page shows a tie on the top Score between models from different companies, the market resolves to those companies in equal shares.
- If a live check isn't possible, I'll use the first Wayback Machine snapshot of that URL after the deadline.