Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
None in 2026 70%+2.5%Führend unter 32 Optionen
Marktqualitat
80 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
984,1 €
Liquidität
39.176,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
67.0% / 72.0%
Spread
7.5%
Mittlerer Spread7d-Änderung
+10.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
13. Feb. 26, 21:4931. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
Gewähltes Ergebnis
None in 202670%
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Which AI will be the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena?
4.0%6Mon
-4.0%32%
1%
7%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
44 • Niedrige QualitätMittlerer SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen710,2 €
24h-Volumen3,4 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve according to the listed entity, which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1550+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Results from the "Text Arena" section on the leaderboard/text tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) will be used to resolve this market.
- If no company's model reaches 1550+ Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None in 2026".
- If the first model to reach a 1550+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/.
- If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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This market will resolve according to the listed entity, which is the first to reach an Arena Score of 1550+ on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Results from the "Text Arena" section on the leaderboard/text tab of https://lmarena.ai/ with the style control unchecked (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) will be used to resolve this market.
- If no company's model reaches 1550+ Arena Score by the specified time, this market will resolve to "None in 2026".
- If the first model to reach a 1550+ Arena Score belongs to any company other than the listed ones, this market will be resolved to "Other".
- The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/.
- If this resolution source becomes unavailable, the market will remain open until it is accessible again.