Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseChatGPT (or other OpenAI) 77%Führend unter 6 Optionen
Prognostiker
20
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
0.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet18. Jan. 26, 12:58 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
PolymarketWill chatGPT fall below 75% of AI Chatbot market share in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill an AI chatbot overtake Google as the most used search engine by 2030?
Manifold MarketsBefore 2030, will it be reported that a professional sports team used AI film analysis to scout players?
Manifold MarketsTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegeln
According to the SimilarWeb ranking, which chatbot site will have the most usage as of 1 January 2027? Current ranking: https://www.similarweb.com/top-websites/ai-chatbots-and-tools/
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 224.720,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 160.486,9 €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 2,3 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 344.925,6 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für What will be the most-used AI chatbot by end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet ChatGPT (or other OpenAI) mit 77% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird What will be the most-used AI chatbot by end of 2026? entschieden?
- What will be the most-used AI chatbot by end of 2026? soll am 31. Dezember 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird What will be the most-used AI chatbot by end of 2026? abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: According to the SimilarWeb ranking, which chatbot site will have the most usage as of 1 January 2027? Current ranking: https://www.similarweb.com/top-websites/ai-chatbots-and-tools/