Adoption

Finance AI adoption in September

1Mon

Above 73%

88%

Above 73.25%

Above 73.5%

+6 weitere Ergebnisse

Niedrige Qualität (29)Breiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt

Gesamtvolumen200 $

24h-Volumen200 $

KALSHI

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?

3.0 Pkt. (24h)3Mon

Nein

91%

+3.0pt9%

Zugehörige Kryptos

BTC

Mittlere Qualität (64)Mittlerer SpreadHohe LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung

Gesamtvolumen185.645,1 $

24h-Volumen13 $

KALSHI

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

3Mon

Nein

94.1%

5.9%

Zugehörige Kryptos

BTC

CoinRithm-ReferenzNein94%· 5 Pkt. Venue-Spanne

Mittlere Qualität (60)Mittlerer SpreadMittlere LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung

Gesamtvolumen61.003,7 $

24h-Volumen1,3 $

POLYMARKET

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

3Mon

Nein

98%

Niedrige Qualität (≤49)Mittlerer SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt

Gesamtvolumen21.029,6 $

24h-Volumen—

POLYMARKET

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

3Mon

Nein

89.2%

10.8%

Zugehörige Kryptos

BTC

CoinRithm-ReferenzNein94%· 5 Pkt. Venue-Spanne

Niedrige Qualität (30)Spread unbekanntLiquidität unbekanntDünner Markt

Gesamtvolumen8279,4 $

24h-Volumen—

LIMITLESS

Will Brazil constitute a strategic Bitcoin reserve by the end of 2026?

3Mon

Nein

89%

11%

Zugehörige Kryptos

BTC

Niedrige Qualität (30)Spread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt

Gesamtvolumen386,8 $

24h-Volumen—

FUTUUR

Healthcare AI adoption in September

1Mon

Above 43%

87%

Above 43.5%

Above 43.75%

+4 weitere Ergebnisse

Niedrige Qualität (25)Breiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt

Gesamtvolumen50 $

24h-Volumen50 $

KALSHI

Worldcoin signups > 30 million people by the end of 2026?

3Mon

Nein

93%

Niedrige Qualität (32)Spread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt

Gesamtvolumen122,6 $

24h-Volumen—

FUTUUR

xAI corporate adoption rate in September

1Mon

Above 4.5%

Above 4.75%

Above 5%

+4 weitere Ergebnisse

Niedrige Qualität (24)Breiter SpreadLiquidität unbekanntDünner Markt

Gesamtvolumen—

24h-Volumen—

KALSHI

Hospitality AI adoption in September

1Mon

Above 33%

Above 33.5%

Above 34%

+3 weitere Ergebnisse

Niedrige Qualität (24)Breiter SpreadLiquidität unbekanntDünner Markt

Gesamtvolumen—

24h-Volumen—

KALSHI

Tech sector AI adoption in September

1Mon

Above 80.75%

Above 81%

Above 81.25%

+4 weitere Ergebnisse

Niedrige Qualität (24)Breiter SpreadLiquidität unbekanntDünner Markt

Gesamtvolumen—

24h-Volumen—

KALSHI

Manufacturing AI adoption in September

1Mon

Above 61%

Above 61.5%

Above 61.75%

+4 weitere Ergebnisse

Niedrige Qualität (24)Breiter SpreadLiquidität unbekanntDünner Markt

Gesamtvolumen—

24h-Volumen—

KALSHI

Ramp AI Index adoption rate in September

1Mon

Above 56%

Above 56.2%

Above 56.4%

+4 weitere Ergebnisse

Niedrige Qualität (24)Breiter SpreadLiquidität unbekanntDünner Markt

Gesamtvolumen—

24h-Volumen—

KALSHI

When will it be possible to order a drink with "precision fermentation" derived "milk" at Starbucks?

before the end of 2030

65%

before the end of 2029

58.9%

before the end of 2028

58%

+4 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose14 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Manifold have a mana purchase goal meter?

20T

Nein

84.6%

15.4%

Community-Prognose17 PrognostikerTyp: binary

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Nein

72.3%

27.7%

Community-Prognose30 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 1 Stunde

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will at least 1% of new car sales be flying cars by 2040?

14J

Nein

84.2%

15.8%

Community-Prognose32 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 6 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

52%

Nein

48%

Community-Prognose23 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 5 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Linux Desktop surpasses >10% marketshare before >10% of US population use VR daily.

57.9%

Nein

42.1%

Community-Prognose24 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 5 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will 50% of US commuters travel via autonomous vehicles by 2030?

Nein

88.9%

11.1%

Community-Prognose20 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 7 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will cryptocurrency and web3 be mainstream by 2032?

Nein

85.9%

14.1%

Community-Prognose13 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 7 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Polymarket exceeds $10B monthly trading volume in Dec 2027?

Nein

61.1%

38.9%

Zugehörige Kryptos

BTC

Community-Prognose6 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 7 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Cursor report 10M monthly active users before Jan 1, 2027?

3Mon

81%

Nein

19%

Community-Prognose1 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 7 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Brazil adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Nein

97.2%

2.8%

Zugehörige Kryptos

BTC

Community-Prognose18 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 8 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

US solar capacity doubles over 2025-2030?

53.7%

Nein

46.3%

Community-Prognose21 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 9 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Argentina adopt Bitcoin as an official currency before 2028

Nein

80%

20%

Zugehörige Kryptos

BTC

Community-Prognose33 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 10 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2026?

6Mon

Nein

75%

25%

Community-Prognose5 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 12 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2027?

50%

Nein

50%

Community-Prognose4 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 12 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2028?

53.6%

Nein

46.4%

Community-Prognose3 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 12 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2029?

59.9%

Nein

40.1%

Community-Prognose3 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 12 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a major social media platform implement privacy-preserving proof of personhood by 2030?

55%

Nein

45%

Community-Prognose10 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 14 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will space tourism become mainstream by 2027?

Nein

89.5%

10.5%

Community-Prognose50 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 16 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Germany have 15Mio electric vehicles by 2030?

Nein

96.4%

3.6%

Community-Prognose27 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 17 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will cryptocurrencies replace fiat money before 2040?

13J

Nein

79.1%

20.9%

Zugehörige Kryptos

BTC

Community-Prognose10 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 17 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?

Nein

73.2%

26.8%

Community-Prognose72 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 1 Stunde

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Tim Urban create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Nein

80%

20%

Community-Prognose13 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 14 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Vox create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Nein

69.5%

30.5%

Community-Prognose17 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 2 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Uruguay adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Nein

83%

17%

Zugehörige Kryptos

BTC

Community-Prognose18 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 2 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Which of these people will speak at Voliti Co’s Predict 2026 (predict2026.org)?

3Mon

Stephen Grugett, Manifold and MNX

91.3%

Tarek Mansour, Kalshi

81.4%

Luana Lopes Lara, Kalshi

46.9%

+3 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose13 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 7 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Wikipedia accept prediction markets as a source before 2030?

Nein

51.7%

48.3%

Community-Prognose74 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 1 Stunde

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Next country to adopt Bitcoin as a legal tender

3Mon

Suriname

29.2%

Argentina

9.7%

Qatar

7.1%

+10 weitere Ergebnisse

Zugehörige Kryptos

BTC

Community-Prognose15 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will any manufacturer ship 1 GW or more of perovskite solar modules in a single calendar year by December 31, 2028?

57.6%

Nein

42.4%

Community-Prognose3 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 2 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26?

1Mon

65.3%

Nein

34.7%

Community-Prognose10 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 12 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Nein

52.8%

47.2%

Community-Prognose324 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 5 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will I bring someone onto Manifold Markets who creates 100 questions by August 28, 2028 (8/28/28)?

Nein

72.4%

27.6%

Community-Prognose6 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 7 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will my friend S successfully run a market on manifold?

3Mon

78%

Nein

22%

Community-Prognose10 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 8 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will 3 or more new countries adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Nein

57.6%

42.4%

Zugehörige Kryptos

BTC

Community-Prognose39 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 7 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will 2 or more new countries adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Nein

54.9%

45.1%

Zugehörige Kryptos

BTC

Community-Prognose33 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 17 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Zugehörige Krypto-Assets

Finance AI adoption in September

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Will Brazil constitute a strategic Bitcoin reserve by the end of 2026?

Healthcare AI adoption in September

Worldcoin signups > 30 million people by the end of 2026?

xAI corporate adoption rate in September

Hospitality AI adoption in September

Tech sector AI adoption in September

Manufacturing AI adoption in September

Ramp AI Index adoption rate in September

When will it be possible to order a drink with "precision fermentation" derived "milk" at Starbucks?

Will Manifold have a mana purchase goal meter?

Will Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will at least 1% of new car sales be flying cars by 2040?

Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?

Linux Desktop surpasses >10% marketshare before >10% of US population use VR daily.

Will 50% of US commuters travel via autonomous vehicles by 2030?

Will cryptocurrency and web3 be mainstream by 2032?

Polymarket exceeds $10B monthly trading volume in Dec 2027?

Will Cursor report 10M monthly active users before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Brazil adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

US solar capacity doubles over 2025-2030?

Will Argentina adopt Bitcoin as an official currency before 2028

What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2026?

What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2027?

What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2028?

What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2029?

Will a major social media platform implement privacy-preserving proof of personhood by 2030?

Will space tourism become mainstream by 2027?

Will Germany have 15Mio electric vehicles by 2030?

Will cryptocurrencies replace fiat money before 2040?

Will electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?

Will Tim Urban create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will Vox create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will Uruguay adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Which of these people will speak at Voliti Co’s Predict 2026 (predict2026.org)?

Will Wikipedia accept prediction markets as a source before 2030?

Next country to adopt Bitcoin as a legal tender

Will any manufacturer ship 1 GW or more of perovskite solar modules in a single calendar year by December 31, 2028?

Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26?

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

Will I bring someone onto Manifold Markets who creates 100 questions by August 28, 2028 (8/28/28)?

Will my friend S successfully run a market on manifold?

Will 3 or more new countries adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?

Will 2 or more new countries adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?