Adoption

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?

Before Jan 1, 2027

0.8 Pkt. (24h)2Mon

Ja4%-0.8pt

Nein96%

Zugehörige Kryptos

BTC

Mittlere Qualität (69)Enger SpreadHohes Open InterestNahe an der Auflösung

Gesamtvolumen198.111,1 $

24h-Volumen10,3 $

KALSHI

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

2Mon

Ja5%

Nein95%

Zugehörige Kryptos

BTC

Niedrige Qualität (≤49)Enger SpreadMittlere LiquiditätNahe an der Auflösung

Gesamtvolumen65.330,5 $

24h-Volumen—

POLYMARKET

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

2Mon

Ja1%

Nein99%

Niedrige Qualität (33)Breiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt

Gesamtvolumen21.640,4 $

24h-Volumen—

POLYMARKET

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

2Mon

Ja45%

Nein55%

Zugehörige Kryptos

BTC

Niedrige Qualität (30)Spread unbekanntLiquidität unbekanntDünner Markt

Gesamtvolumen9918,7 $

24h-Volumen—

LIMITLESS

Will Brazil constitute a strategic Bitcoin reserve by the end of 2026?

1Mon

Ja8%

Nein92%

Zugehörige Kryptos

BTC

Niedrige Qualität (30)Spread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt

Gesamtvolumen391,2 $

24h-Volumen—

FUTUUR

Worldcoin signups > 30 million people by the end of 2026?

2Mon

Ja9%

Nein91%

Niedrige Qualität (32)Spread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt

Gesamtvolumen154,1 $

24h-Volumen—

FUTUUR

Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?

2Mon

Ja4%

Nein96%

Zugehörige Kryptos

BTC

CoinRithm-ReferenzNein97%· 2 Pkt. Venue-Spanne

Niedrige Qualität (32)Spread unbekanntNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt

Gesamtvolumen25 $

24h-Volumen—

FUTUUR

Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26?

4T

Ja64%

Nein36%

Community-Prognose11 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 2 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will level 4 self-driving cars be generally available in the US before 2030?

3J

Ja50.1%

Nein49.9%

Community-Prognose15 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 5 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Wearable self-driving car safety dongle with 1m users by end of 2030

4J

Ja11.3%

Nein88.7%

Community-Prognose9 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 5 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will "compute sovereignty" become popular like data sovereignty?

2J

Ja47.9%

Nein52.1%

Community-Prognose3 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 16 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

US solar capacity doubles over 2025-2030?

3J

Ja65.5%

Nein34.5%

Community-Prognose22 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 6 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

When will a device that utilizes reversible computing be sold to the general public?

Before 204766.2%

Before 204459%

Before 203250%

+4 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose2 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 15 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Holden Karnofsky create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

1J

Ja27.9%

Nein72.1%

Community-Prognose14 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 5 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the metaverse become a mainstream social platform by 2030?

3J

Ja8.5%

Nein91.5%

Community-Prognose9 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 18 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

How long will my career be?

2036-204513%

2046-205513%

2056-206513%

+5 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose1 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 13 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

In what year will private air travel surpass public air travel?

2042-204719.6%

2048-205319.6%

2054-206019.6%

+3 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose2 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 16 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

4J

Ja52%

Nein48%

Community-Prognose326 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 5 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

By the end of which year will my HOA first install at least five EV charging stations?

3J

2030 or later62.8%

202956.9%

202851.5%

+3 weitere Ergebnisse

Community-Prognose4 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 1 Stunde

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Sonic $S (former Fantom $FTM) reach $0.50 by the end of 2026?

2Mon

Ja52.5%

Nein47.5%

Community-Prognose3 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 4 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will 5G edge computing gain widespread adoption in consumer services before 2030?

3J

Ja10.1%

Nein89.9%

Community-Prognose3 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 4 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will flow batteries be the most popular method of grid-scale energy storage before 2030?

3J

Ja20.7%

Nein79.3%

Community-Prognose4 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 11 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will global IPv6 adoption reach 95% before 2036?

9J

Ja47.5%

Nein52.5%

Community-Prognose4 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 2 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will I get adopted a second time by 2030?

4J

Ja57.1%

Nein42.9%

Community-Prognose5 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 5 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

A Sovereign Nation Grants Monetary Sovereignty to a Province by 2030

4J

Ja33.2%

Nein66.8%

Community-Prognose4 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 7 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the new Jaguar car marketing campaign increase sales?

1J

Ja45.2%

Nein54.8%

Community-Prognose5 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 18 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Most of my close friends will own and regularly use a VR headset by 2030.

4J

Ja55%

Nein45%

Community-Prognose6 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 6 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will many visual artists in the US be compensated for AI models trained on their work before the end of 2027?

1J

Ja7.5%

Nein92.5%

Community-Prognose6 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 14 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will at least 1/5 of UC Berkeley students be wearing AR/VR goggles/glasses (to study) at the campus library by eoy 2028

2J

Ja25%

Nein75%

Community-Prognose7 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 5 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the 7automaker group (see desc) install at least 30,000 EV charging stations in the US/Canada by December 31, 2030?

4J

Ja85.5%

Nein14.5%

Community-Prognose8 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 2 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a majority of McDonalds in the US stop having face to face human cashiers by the end of 2035?

8J

Ja59.9%

Nein40.1%

Community-Prognose8 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 5 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the New York Times adopt bounties to make articles publicly accessible by 2030?

4J

Ja15.3%

Nein84.7%

Community-Prognose8 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 12 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

US Crypto reserve hacked or disappeared before January 20, 2029?

2J

Ja31%

Nein69%

Community-Prognose8 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 6 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

In 2026, the majority of Pakistani adults will be banked.

2Mon

Ja49.2%

Nein50.8%

Community-Prognose9 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 5 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

If Manifold gives me a $100,000 advertising budget, will Manifold's MAUs double within a year?

3J

Ja57.3%

Nein42.7%

Community-Prognose9 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 5 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a Manifold user reach 1 Million traders by EOY 2030

4J

Ja79%

Nein21%

Community-Prognose9 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 5 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Arby's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2030?

4J

Ja38.3%

Nein61.7%

Community-Prognose10 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 5 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a major social media network adopt product changes to prioritize posts that are truthful and accurate by 2028?

1J

Ja41.4%

Nein58.6%

Community-Prognose10 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 4 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the Full Self Driving revolution be bigger then the Smartphone revolution by at least one order of magnitude?

8J

Ja18.7%

Nein81.3%

Community-Prognose11 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 2 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a commercial airline have an eVTOL in use on a working public route by the end of 2026?

2Mon

Ja3.8%

Nein96.2%

Community-Prognose12 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 1 Stunde

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will a G7 country have greater than 50% of new car sales being battery powered electric vehicles by the end of 2026?

2Mon

Ja9.9%

Nein90.1%

Community-Prognose12 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 18 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

What percentage of NYC yellow taxis will be electric vehicles by 2030?

3J

Ja59.9%

Nein40.1%

Community-Prognose13 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 4 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will the worldwide electric car adoption curve reach it's steepest point by 2030?

13J

Ja82%

Nein18%

Community-Prognose14 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 5 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Next country to adopt Bitcoin as a legal tender:

2Mon

Suriname22.9%

Kazakhstan14%

Cabo Verde10.9%

+26 weitere Ergebnisse

Zugehörige Kryptos

BTC

Community-Prognose64 PrognostikerTyp: multiple choice

vor 9 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

2030 – 2. We interact with a wide range of AIs in our daily lives as naturally as we interact with other humans today

4J

Ja88.8%

Nein11.2%

Community-Prognose14 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 11 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will I create a real-money question for Manifold by the end of 2026?

2Mon

Ja17.9%

Nein82.1%

Community-Prognose17 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 2 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will this question get 100k traders before Manifold shuts down?

13J

Ja5.4%

Nein94.6%

Community-Prognose16 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 5 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Will Arby's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2027?

1J

Ja6.2%

Nein93.8%

Community-Prognose17 PrognostikerTyp: binary

vor 5 Stunden

MANIFOLD MARKETS

Zugehörige Krypto-Assets

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

Will Brazil constitute a strategic Bitcoin reserve by the end of 2026?

Worldcoin signups > 30 million people by the end of 2026?

Bitcoin quantum-resistant upgrade implemented in 2026?

Will I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26?

Will level 4 self-driving cars be generally available in the US before 2030?

Wearable self-driving car safety dongle with 1m users by end of 2030

Will "compute sovereignty" become popular like data sovereignty?

US solar capacity doubles over 2025-2030?

When will a device that utilizes reversible computing be sold to the general public?

Will Holden Karnofsky create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?

Will the metaverse become a mainstream social platform by 2030?

How long will my career be?

In what year will private air travel surpass public air travel?

Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?

By the end of which year will my HOA first install at least five EV charging stations?

Will Sonic $S (former Fantom $FTM) reach $0.50 by the end of 2026?

Will 5G edge computing gain widespread adoption in consumer services before 2030?

Will flow batteries be the most popular method of grid-scale energy storage before 2030?

Will global IPv6 adoption reach 95% before 2036?

Will I get adopted a second time by 2030?

A Sovereign Nation Grants Monetary Sovereignty to a Province by 2030

Will the new Jaguar car marketing campaign increase sales?

Most of my close friends will own and regularly use a VR headset by 2030.

Will many visual artists in the US be compensated for AI models trained on their work before the end of 2027?

Will at least 1/5 of UC Berkeley students be wearing AR/VR goggles/glasses (to study) at the campus library by eoy 2028

Will the 7automaker group (see desc) install at least 30,000 EV charging stations in the US/Canada by December 31, 2030?

Will a majority of McDonalds in the US stop having face to face human cashiers by the end of 2035?

Will the New York Times adopt bounties to make articles publicly accessible by 2030?

US Crypto reserve hacked or disappeared before January 20, 2029?

In 2026, the majority of Pakistani adults will be banked.

If Manifold gives me a $100,000 advertising budget, will Manifold's MAUs double within a year?

Will a Manifold user reach 1 Million traders by EOY 2030

Will Arby's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2030?

Will a major social media network adopt product changes to prioritize posts that are truthful and accurate by 2028?

Will the Full Self Driving revolution be bigger then the Smartphone revolution by at least one order of magnitude?

Will a commercial airline have an eVTOL in use on a working public route by the end of 2026?

Will a G7 country have greater than 50% of new car sales being battery powered electric vehicles by the end of 2026?

What percentage of NYC yellow taxis will be electric vehicles by 2030?

Will the worldwide electric car adoption curve reach it's steepest point by 2030?

Next country to adopt Bitcoin as a legal tender:

2030 – 2. We interact with a wide range of AIs in our daily lives as naturally as we interact with other humans today

Will I create a real-money question for Manifold by the end of 2026?

Will this question get 100k traders before Manifold shuts down?

Will Arby's offer a lab-grown / cultivated cell meat product by the end of 2027?

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