Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will the worldwide electric car adoption curve reach it's steepest point by 2030??

Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 82% (Stand: 26. Oktober 2026).

Will the worldwide electric car adoption curve reach it's steepest point by 2030?

Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriert

Aktuelle Community-Prognose

Ja 82%

Prognostiker

Fragetyp

binary

Methodik

Play-money forecasting platform

Quellentyp

Prognose

Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 16 Stunden

Veraltet

2. März 24, 10:09 UTC1. Jan. 40, 22:59 UTC

Trends

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The goal is to predict when the adoption S-curve of share of electric car sales will reach its steepest point.

This will be based on the data provided by OurWorldInData.
The current graph is shown below:
[image]The steepest point is currently 2020-2021 (9% - 4%) = 5%. 2021-2022 has achieved the same steepness.
The final change that will be included in the resolution is 2029-2030.
If this change or any of the previous changes is the largest over the entire curve the market will resolve YES.