Will a major social media network adopt product changes to prioritize posts that are truthful and accurate by 2028?
One-OffTechnikWirtschaft & UnternehmenAdoption1JManifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseNein 58.6%
Prognostiker
10
Fragetyp
binary
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 14 Stunden
Veraltet14. März 24, 16:37 UTC22. März 28, 03:59 UTC
Trends
Regeln
Social media is currently oriented to reward 'engagement' which functionally rewards controversy.
- This structure does not currently reward truth, but the rise in popularity of prediction markets, community notes, and other systems suggest a potential for a different future.
- Major Social Media Network - Greater than a billion users.
- Product Changes - Changes which cause posts that are demonstrably truthful (or accurately describe potential error in a post) to be more widely distributed than controversial posts.
