FutuurVerfügbarkeit prüfenVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 91%
Nein 91%Marktqualitat
32 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
641,7 €
Niedrige LiquiditätTrader
10
Kommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 1 Minute
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will the foreign population of Japan exceed 5 million people by the 2025 census?
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Manifold MarketsWhen will Worldcoin orbs become operational in Porto Velho, Brazil?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Worldcoin's monthly payout exceed Brazil's minimum wage?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
KalshiWill I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This event predicts whether Worldcoin will reach more than 30 million unique human sign-ups by December 31, 2026.
- For this market, sign-ups refer to unique individuals verified through Worldcoin’s World ID system.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) will be official Worldcoin disclosures published on its website or official communications.
- If official Worldcoin disclosures report that the number of unique World ID sign-ups exceeds 30 million by the end of December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Yes".
- Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
- If reported figures are credibly disputed by multiple reliable sources, Futuur may use its discretion to determine the most accurate figure.