PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 26%-0.5%Führend unter 7 Optionen
Marktqualitat
68 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
306,1 €
Liquidität
14.196,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
25.0% / 26.0%
Spread
4.0%
Mittlerer Spread7d-Änderung
+1.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
29. Dez. 25, 22:0531. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
December 3126%
Verwandte Märkte
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by...?
57.490,9 €December 31: 44%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
43.441,2 €December 31: 48%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by...?
3939,3 €December 31: 50%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will there be a dark horse run in the 2026 Fifa World Cup?
2719,2 €Yes, and they will reach quarter-finals: 85%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Ukraine control any part of Crimea for at least a week before the end of 2026?
1978,1 €Ja: 9.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia?
1147,2 €Before Jan 1, 2027: 53%
KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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Ukraine reports Crimea strikes as Polymarket puts 2026 recapture odds at 13.5%Blockchain.News
UN report on POW abuses lifts Polymarket Crimea recapture odds to 14%Blockchain.News
Dnipro strike hits Ukraine as Polymarket raises Crimea recapture odds to 13.5%Blockchain.NewsRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Stepnohirsk, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by January 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Stepnohirsk will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by January 15, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.