PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührAktuelle implizite WahrscheinlichkeitDecember 31 75%-1.5%Führend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
68 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1122,7 €
Liquidität
10.126,1 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
73.0% / 76.0%
Spread
4.1%
Mittlerer Spread7d-Änderung
-2.5%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 5 Minuten
1. Mai 26, 22:2531. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
0%
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
December 3175%
Verwandte Märkte
Will Russia capture Pokrovka by...?
47.841 €December 31: 44%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Russia capture Havrylivka by...?
618,4 €December 31: 22%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by...?
39.133,6 €December 31: 43%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will there be a dark horse run in the 2026 Fifa World Cup?
2719,2 €Yes, and they will reach quarter-finals: 85%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Ukraine control any part of Crimea for at least a week before the end of 2026?
1978,1 €Ja: 9.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Steve Witkoff visit Russia?
1135 €Before Jan 1, 2027: 53%
KALSHI
KALSHIIn diesen Themen aktiv
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the intersection at 48.810403° N, 37.851396° E in Rai-Oleksandrivka, Donetsk Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
- The intersection will be considered captured if any part of the intersection is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.