PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 2%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
60 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
651,1 €
Liquidität
3690,7 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
1.1 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
12
7d-Änderung
-0.8 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
29. Dez. 25, 22:05 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0%
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Russia capture Prymorske by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture Orikhiv by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture all of Vovchansk by which date?
PolymarketWill Russia capture Lyman in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Russia capture Kramatorsk at least once before EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Ukraine capture more territory than it loses to Russia in October 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the entirety of Prymorske, Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Prymorske will be considered captured if the entirety of the municipality is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the named outcome, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.