PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 33%
Marktqualitat
69 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
19.631,3 €
Liquidität
23.932,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
5.6% / 7.6%
Spread
2.0 pt
Enger SpreadComments
0
7d-Änderung
-0.7 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 4 Minuten
21. Mai 26, 17:481. Jan. 27, 4:59
Trends
Regeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the train station in Orikhiv (47.559860° N, 35.786219° E), Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.
- The train station will be considered captured if any part of the icon is shaded red on the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) by the resolution date.
- If the area is not shaded red by the specified date, the market will resolve to “No”.
- For any change on the ISW map to qualify for this market’s resolution, the relevant shading indicating Russian control must persist through the next full ISW daily update cycle.
- If ISW skips a day, shading must persist until the next finalized ISW update is published, regardless of the date.
- Any continuous shading which reflects either “Assessed Russian Control”, “Assessed Russian Advance In Ukraine”, or “Assessed Russian Gains in the Past 24 Hours” will qualify. “Assessed Russian Infiltration Areas in Ukraine” will not qualify.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Russia capture Orikhiv by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet December 31 mit 33% (Stand: 22. August 2026).
- Wann wird Will Russia capture Orikhiv by which date? entschieden?
- Will Russia capture Orikhiv by which date? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Russia capture Orikhiv by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if, according to the ISW map, Russia captures the train station in Orikhiv (47.559860° N, 35.786219° E), Zaporizhzhia Oblast, by the specified date 11:59 PM ET.