PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31 5%+0.6ptFührend unter 5 Optionen
Marktqualitat
52 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
7 €
Liquidität
17.431,3 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
3.6 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
2
7d-Änderung
-1.4 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten
20. Juli 26, 02:25 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by which date?
PolymarketWill Mojtaba Khamenei be alive on Jan 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Mojtaba Khamenei be Iran’s supreme leader on 1 January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhy hasn't Mojtaba Khamenei been seen in public?
Manifold MarketsMojtaba Khamenei public appearance by which date?
PolymarketTrump meets with Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET.
- A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
- Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation.
- If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
