PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertWarnung zur DatenqualitätNicht aussagekräftig bepreist
Daten vom 30.09.2026, 18:35 UTC · Richtlinie pm-quality-4
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
September 30 0%
September 30 0%Marktqualitat
36 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
32.287,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
- / 0.1%
Kommentare
15
7d-Änderung
-0.3 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 23 Minuten
28. Juli 26, 03:28 UTC30. Sept. 26, 20:59 UTC
Trends
August 31Verloren
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 0,1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Nein
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Iran target an Arab country by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Iraq by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Kuwait by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Jordan by which date?
PolymarketWill a NATO aircraft shoot down a missile or drone fired towards a target in Ukraine before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Ukraine through a qualifying military action between market creation and the specified date, Kyiv time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Ukraine.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.