PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
October 31 74%+14.0pt
Marktqualitat
43 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
1221,2 €
Liquidität
434,7 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
33.0% / 39.0%
Spread
6.0 pt
Breiter SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-24.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 11 Minuten
9. Sept. 26, 21:23 UTC31. Okt. 26, 20:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Oman by which date?
PolymarketWill Iran target Qatar by which date?
PolymarketWill Palestine be Annexed by Jordan or the UAE?
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Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Jordan through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Amman time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Jordan.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
Offene Märkte
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- September 20+2.8pt97%
- September 25-0.5pt86%
- September 3078%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 947.493,8 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 688.159,1 €
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- December 31+0.1pt60%
- October 31+1.0pt34%
- September 30-2.0pt9%
+17 weitere Ergebnisse
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- Yes+1.0pt16.8%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 58,7 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 289.118 €
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by which date?
- December 31+2.0pt21%
- October 31+4.0pt14%
- September 30+0.3pt3%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETWhere will the next next round of US-Iran peace talks be?
- No Meeting by September 30-0.8pt87.9%
- USA+1.3pt11.1%
- Pakistan-0.5pt1%
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- US-Iran nuclear deal?
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- Will the Iranian regime fall by September 30?
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by which date?
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- Houthis enter Aden by which date?
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Iran target Jordan by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet October 31 mit 74% (Stand: 20. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Iran target Jordan by which date? entschieden?
- Will Iran target Jordan by which date? soll am 31. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Iran target Jordan by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Jordan through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Amman time.