PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
September 30 21%-1.5ptFührend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
56 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
637,8 €
Liquidität
10.961,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
4.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
-14.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 10 Minuten
18. Aug. 26, 22:48 UTC30. Sept. 26, 20:59 UTC
Trends
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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Kalshi[ACX 2026] Will Saudi Arabia and Israel agree to normalise diplomatic relations during 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Saudi Arabia through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.”
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, directed at Saudi Arabia.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.
- The following actions do not constitute a qualifying military action: Surface-to-air missile strikes; Small-arms fire; Ground incursions; Cyber operations; Naval gunfire and artillery fire; Howitzers, artillery pieces, mortars, and rocket artillery (e.g. MLRS systems); Minor surface-to-surface strikes, including short range loitering munitions, FPV drones, and ATGM strikes; Any threat, authorization, or announcement of force that has not been executed.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet September 30 mit 21% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by which date? entschieden?
- Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by which date? soll am 30. September 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Will Iran target Saudi Arabia by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran targets Saudi Arabia through a qualifying military action between market creation and the listed date, Arabia Standard Time (AST).