Which cartel leaders will be arrested in 2026?
5.2 Pkt. (24h)GeopolitikOne-OffLateinamerikaKriminalität & Justiz2Mon
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Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar · —
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Iván Archivaldo Guzmán SalazarSpread
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7d-Änderung
-5.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 15 Minuten
24. Feb. 26, 01:24 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
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Markttiefe · Iván Archivaldo Guzmán Salazar
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KalshiWho will be arrested before 2027?
PolymarketRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed Cartel Leader is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
- A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
- The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.