US plague travel ban on Russia in 2026?
5.5 Pkt. (24h)Russland / UkraineOne-OffGesundheit & Medizin2Mon
PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Nein 86.1%+5.5pt
Nein 86.1%+5.5ptMarktqualitat
69 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
4217,1 €
Liquidität
10.637,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätGeld / Brief
12.0% / 15.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
6. Okt. 26, 16:06 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
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PolymarketWill a pneumonic plague case be reported in the U.S. this year?
KalshiConfirmed Irkutsk plague cases in Oct 2026?
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States government issues a measure banning entry into the United States by Russian nationals or by travelers who have been physically present in Russia or any specified region within Russia, on plague-related grounds between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying measure is a proclamation, executive order, rule, or equivalent formal action that prohibits or suspends entry into US territory by Russian citizens or nationals, or by travelers who have been physically present in Russia or any specified region within Russia, whatever lookback period the measure uses.
- Russian nationality or physical presence in Russia or a specified region within Russia must be an express criterion determining who is subject to the entry prohibition.
- A measure that bars entry of Russian nationals as a class or travelers with such physical presence qualifies even if it carries exceptions or applies only to certain visa categories.
- The measure, or the official announcement issuing it, must cite plague, Yersinia pestis, or the suspected plague incident reported from Irkutsk Oblast, Russia in October 2026 as a basis for the entry prohibition.