PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
December 31, 6%-0.3ptFührend unter 6 Optionen
Marktqualitat
36 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
—
Liquidität
31.978,1 €
Hohe LiquiditätKommentare
10
7d-Änderung
-0.4 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
5. Nov. 25, 18:16 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
0%
0%
0%
0%
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Iran nuclear test before 2027?
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PolymarketU.S. x Russia nuclear arms control deal confirmed by which date?
FutuurRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by Russia that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
- Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
- Tests not explicitly claimed by Russia may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to Russia.
- For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to Russia.
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Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Russia nuclear test by which date??
- Polymarket bewertet December 31, mit 6% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Russia nuclear test by which date? entschieden?
- Russia nuclear test by which date? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Russia nuclear test by which date? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if Russia conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET).