PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
On or prior to September 22 72%Führend unter 25 Optionen
Marktqualitat
68 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
15.351,2 €
Liquidität
84.893 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
3.9 pt
Mittlerer SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
21. Sept. 26, 21:22 UTC15. Okt. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Next OpenAI GPT Luna (5.7+) released by which date?
PolymarketNext GPT Luna Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketNext GPT Sol Model (5.7+) released on?
PolymarketWill a new Claude Sonnet model be released in September 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill "The current SOTA model was released without s..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
Manifold MarketsWill a Mythos-tier-at-cybersecurity open-source model be released before end of 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Luna model (5.7+) is made available to the general public.
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Luna" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Luna would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Luna or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Luna" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Luna, GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify.
- Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
- A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups.
- A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice.
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 22+72.4pt74.5%
- September 23+11.6pt13.7%
- September 24+3.8pt4.9%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 269.839,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 199.899,7 €
KALSHITime's Person of the Year for 2026
- Zohran Mamdani-4.0pt27%
- Mark Carney-3.0pt19%
- Pope Leo XIV-7.0pt9%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 107.516,9 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.4pt70.3%
- ChatGPT-0.9pt13.9%
- Gemini-1.7pt7.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10,3 Mio. €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-0.2pt99%
- OpenAI+0.6pt1%
- Meta0%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETAnthropic lab leak by which date?
- June 30, 2027-4.0pt7%
- December 31, 2026+0.2pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 85.006,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 65.253,9 €
- Best AI this week
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+) released on?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Anthropic market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+) released on??
- Polymarket bewertet On or prior to September 22 mit 72% (Stand: 22. September 2026).
- Wann wird Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+) released on? entschieden?
- Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+) released on? soll am 15. Oktober 2026 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+) released on? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Luna model (5.7+) is made available to the general public.