PolymarketVerfügbarkeit prüfenKein KYC2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
1430+ 63%Führend unter 4 Optionen
Marktqualitat
67 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
7932,3 €
Liquidität
6742,8 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 18 Minuten
21. Sept. 26, 21:20 UTC30. Juni 27, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Regeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next OpenAI GPT Luna model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Luna" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors.
- For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Luna would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Luna or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Luna" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Luna, GPT-5.6 Sol, GPT-5.6 Terra, or GPT-6 Astra (released September 4, 2026), will not qualify.
- Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify.
- Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
Offene Märkte
AIPOLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 22+72.4pt74.5%
- September 23+11.6pt13.7%
- September 24+3.8pt4.9%
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 269.839,7 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 199.899,7 €
KALSHITime's Person of the Year for 2026
- Zohran Mamdani-4.0pt27%
- Mark Carney-3.0pt19%
- Pope Leo XIV-7.0pt9%
+39 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 1,3 Mio. €
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
+13 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 4,4 Mio. €
- 24h-Volumen
- 107.516,9 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-1.4pt70.3%
- ChatGPT-0.9pt13.9%
- Gemini-1.7pt7.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 10,3 Mio. €
POLYMARKETWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
- Anthropic-0.2pt99%
- OpenAI+0.6pt1%
- Meta0%
+18 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETAnthropic lab leak by which date?
- June 30, 2027-4.0pt7%
- December 31, 2026+0.2pt4%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 85.006,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 65.253,9 €
- Best AI this week
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Anthropic IPO by which date?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- Next GPT Sol Model (5.7+) released on?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Anthropic market share this week
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+) released on?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut??
- Polymarket bewertet 1430+ mit 63% (Stand: 22. September 2026).
- Wann wird Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut? entschieden?
- Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut? soll am 30. Juni 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Next GPT Luna Model (5.7+): Text Arena Debut? abgerechnet?
- Polymarket rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next OpenAI GPT Luna model added to the Arena.AI Leaderboard (https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control) has at least the specified score at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the leaderboard.