Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Claude 31%-5.0%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Marktqualitat
28 / 100
Niedrige Qualität24h-Volumen
4,9 €
Liquidität
425,6 €
Niedrige LiquiditätGeld / Brief
27.0% / 31.0%
Spread
14.8%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 3 Minuten
10. Feb. 26, 1:001. Jan. 27, 15:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Claude31%
Auch verfügbar auf Polymarket
Which company's AI will first hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
2.0%6Mon
+2.0%70%
-7.0%23%
+0.3%6%
+29 weitere Ergebnisse
80 • Hohe QualitätMittlerer SpreadHohe LiquiditätHohe Mehrdeutigkeit
Gesamtvolumen67.029,5 €
24h-Volumen984 €
POLYMARKETRegeln
If a model by Alibaba is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by Google is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by OpenAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by Anthropic is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by xAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by Moonshot AI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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POLYMARKET
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MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If a model by Alibaba is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by Google is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by OpenAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by Anthropic is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by xAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If a model by Moonshot AI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.