KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Claude · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Gespeicherter Preis
Claude 18.5%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Claude 18.5%Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
82,7 €
Open Interest
103.607,4 $
Hohes Open InterestGeld / Brief
— / —
ClaudeSpread
—
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 39 Minuten
10. Feb. 26, 01:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Claude
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
—
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which lab will have the #1 model on the arena.ai Text leaderboard on October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?
PolymarketSecond-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegeln
If a model by Anthropic is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Claude
- If a model by Anthropic is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gemini
- If a model by Google is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ChatGPT
- If a model by OpenAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Qwen
- If a model by Alibaba is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Grok
- If a model by xAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kimi
- If a model by Moonshot AI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ernie
- If a model by Baidu is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Other
- If a model by Other is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.