KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlichVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenGut kalibriertMittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
Claude · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Preis
Claude 18.5%Führend unter 8 Optionen
Claude 18.5%Marktqualitat
67 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
203,4 €
Open Interest
103.585,2 $
Hohes Open InterestGeld / Brief
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ClaudeSpread
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Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 17 Minuten
10. Feb. 26, 01:00 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Kalshi
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Vorzeitige Schließung:
- Ja
- Abrechnungsfrist:
- 30m (unverbindliche Angabe)
Markttiefe · Claude
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which lab will have the #1 model on the arena.ai Text leaderboard on October 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsSecond-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of November?
PolymarketThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of December?
PolymarketThird-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of October?
PolymarketBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegeln
If a model by Anthropic is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Control)
Regeln für jedes Ergebnis
- Claude
- If a model by Anthropic is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Gemini
- If a model by Google is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- ChatGPT
- If a model by OpenAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Qwen
- If a model by Alibaba is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Grok
- If a model by xAI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Kimi
- If a model by Moonshot AI is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Ernie
- If a model by Baidu is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Other
- If a model by Other is the first to hit 1550 on Text Arena before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.