Mittelwert des gewählten Orderbuchs
#3 · —
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Gespeicherter Referenzwert
#3 25%Führend unter 4 Optionen
#3 25%Marktqualitat
58 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
8,4 €
Liquidität
21.717,4 €
Mittlere LiquiditätOpen Interest
35.730 $
Geld / Brief
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#3Spread
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Kommentare
3
7d-Änderung
+1.5 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 16 Minuten
2. Apr. 26, 21:57 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Chart und Änderungen zeigen gespeicherte historische Wahrscheinlichkeiten, nicht das gewählte aktuelle Orderbuch.
Trends
Gewählte Zeile: Orderbuch-Mittelwert. Andere Zeilen: gespeicherte, ggf. normalisierte Referenzwerte; 24h-Änderungen basieren auf gespeicherter Historie.
#10Gewonnen
#5Gewonnen
Handelsplatzbedingungen
Quelle: Polymarket
Diese Angaben dienen der Information; für den simulierten Handel bei CoinRithm gelten eigene Regeln.
- Mindestorder (Anteile):
- 5
- Preisschritt:
- 1 Prozentpunkte
- Gebühren:
- Ja
Größte Inhaber
Größte Inhaber werden geladen
Markttiefe · #3
Gewähltes Orderbuch wird geladen…
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which company has #1 AI model end of December? (Style Control On)
PolymarketWhich companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
PolymarketWhich company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of December?
PolymarketWhich company has #1 AI model end of October? (Style Control On)
PolymarketA Chinese company will surpass Waymo in total global robotaxi fleet size in 2026
Manifold MarketsWill a chatbot from a Chinese company top the LMSYS leaderboard in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a Chinese company owns the model that has the highest arena score, based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- Chinese Companies include but are not limited to Alibaba, ByteDance, Baidu, Moonshot, Z.ai, DeepSeek, Meituan, Xiaomi, StepFun, Tencent, and MiniMax.
- Companies not headquartered in China or not primarily owned or operating within the Chinese technology ecosystem are not considered primarily Chinese.
- Models will be ranked by their arena score at the market’s check time.
- This market resolves to “Yes” only if a Chinese company’s model holds a strictly higher score than all others; ties will not qualify.
