Manifold MarketsKein KYCVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle Community-PrognoseJa 70.7%
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Aktualisiert vor 6 Stunden
Veraltet2. Jan. 26, 07:42 UTC9. Jan. 27, 07:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
PolymarketWill a chatbot from a Chinese company top the LMSYS leaderboard in 2026?
Manifold MarketsBTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
KalshiElon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of September?
PolymarketRegeln
This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026
- It will resolve according to the judgement of the authors.
- If they don't publish a retrospective by the end of February, it will resolve according to my judgement.
Offene Märkte
TechKALSHIBTC price on Sep 8, 2026 at 8pm EDT?
- $78,400 or above99%
- $78,300 or above99%
- $78,200 or above99%
+97 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 944.111,2 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 721.811,5 €
KALSHIHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Sep 8, 2026?
- 90° or above+68.0pt95.2%
- 88° to 89°-22.0pt1%
- 84° to 85°-8.0pt1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBTC 15 min · $78,442.97 target
- No73%
- Yes27%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 620.000,4 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 536.049,8 €
KALSHIGuyana Amazon Warriors vs Antigua And Barbuda Falcons
- Guyana Amazon Warriors+4.0pt66.3%
- Antigua And Barbuda Falcons-3.0pt33.7%
- Gesamtvolumen
- 514.924,1 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 496.890,6 €
KALSHIWhere will it rain on Sep 8, 2026?
- New Orleans+48.0pt99%
- Houston+70.0pt99%
- Minneapolis+17.0pt99%
+19 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIHighest temperature in New York City on Sep 8, 2026?
- 80° to 81°+53.0pt95.2%
- 79° or below-3.0pt1%
- 82° to 83°-44.0pt1%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- BTC price on Sep 11, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 4 - September 11, 2026?
- Elon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- BTC price on Sep 9, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
- Highest temperature in Austin on Sep 8, 2026?
- Highest temperature in Miami on Sep 8, 2026?
- When will Apple release the iPhone 18?
- Which company has the best AI model end of September?
- Bitcoin price at the end of 2026
- SpaceX (SPCX) Up or Down - Daily
- When will Apple Inc. release the iPhone 18 Pro?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für A Chinese company will surpass Waymo in total global robotaxi fleet size in 2026?
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 71% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird A Chinese company will surpass Waymo in total global robotaxi fleet size in 2026 entschieden?
- A Chinese company will surpass Waymo in total global robotaxi fleet size in 2026 soll am 9. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird A Chinese company will surpass Waymo in total global robotaxi fleet size in 2026 abgerechnet?
- Manifold Markets rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: This is a prediction from https://www.understandingai.org/p/17-predictions-for-ai-in-2026