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Ja 69.8%
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Aktualisiert vor 5 Stunden
Veraltet16. Sept. 24, 20:59 UTC2. Jan. 27, 07:59 UTC
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Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will an open-source AI model top the LMSYS Leaderboard at the end of 2026?
FutuurWill a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
PolymarketA Chinese company will surpass Waymo in total global robotaxi fleet size in 2026
Manifold MarketsSOAI#8: A Chinese lab overtakes the US lab dominated frontier on a major leaderboard (e.g. LMArena/Artificial Analysis)
Manifold MarketsSecond-Best Chinese AI Company end of October?
PolymarketBest Chinese AI Company end of October?
PolymarketRegeln
Auflösungskriterien sind für diesen Markt noch nicht verfügbar. Dieser Abschnitt wird nach den nächsten Aktualisierungen gefüllt, sobald die Quellregeln gespeichert sind.
Offene Märkte
AI
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max-12.0pt72%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-4-6-thinking4%
+3 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 135.247,6 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 102.709,4 €
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+6.5pt62.1%
- 2027-3.5pt28.4%
- 2026+2.0pt9.5%
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-1.0pt90%
- December 15,+3.5pt90%
- November 30,85%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude-0.7pt61.4%
- ChatGPT-2.1pt22.8%
- Grok-0.1pt7.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,1 Mio. €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-1.0pt11.2%
- Grok2.8%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 324.994,1 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-2.5pt66%
- 1490+-9.0pt51%
- 1500+-3.0pt23%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- Will Anthropic announce a Millennium Prize solution?
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Will a chatbot from a Chinese company top the LMSYS leaderboard in 2026??
- Manifold Markets bewertet Yes mit 70% (Stand: 8. September 2026).
- Wann wird Will a chatbot from a Chinese company top the LMSYS leaderboard in 2026? entschieden?
- Will a chatbot from a Chinese company top the LMSYS leaderboard in 2026? soll am 2. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.