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  1. Prognosemärkte
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  3. Who will launch a token this year?
Who will launch a token this year?

Who will launch a token this year?

2.0% (24h)One-OffKryptoExchangeAirdrop6Mon
KalshiKalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% Gebühr
Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Arc
Arc 61%-2.0%
Führend unter 14 Optionen
Marktqualitat

28 / 100

Niedrige Qualität
24h-Volumen

1 €

Liquidität

104,1 €

Niedrige Liquidität
Geld / Brief

61.0% / 69.0%

Spread

13.1%

Breiter Spread
Marktdaten

Aktualisiert vor 6 Minuten

3. Jan. 26, 15:0031. Dez. 26, 18:59

Trends

Ergebnis24hWahrscheinlichkeit

Gewähltes Ergebnis

Arc61%

Regeln

If OpenSea launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing.
  • This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value.
  • NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline.
  • If MetaMask launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Exponent launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Verwandte Märkte

MegaETH airdrop by...?

MegaETH airdrop by...?

364,5 €
December 31,: 38%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

Pump.fun airdrop by ....?

225,5 €
December: 20%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

Hyperliquid airdrop by ....?

222,8 €
2027: 43%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

When Will Bitcoin cross $100,000 again?

76,1 €
Before March 31 11.59pm 2026 est: 0%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
How high will HYPE get in June?

How high will HYPE get in June?

0,2 €
Above $77.50: 45%KalshiKALSHI
Manifold Markets

When will MNX mainnet launch?

3245,3 €
March 2026: 0.9%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

In diesen Themen aktiv

BitcoinBTC$62,710.65+1.66%EthereumETH$1,653.76+0.84%SolanaSOL$64.97+0.68%XRPXRP$1.11-0.27%DogecoinDOGE$0.0848+0.74%BNBBNB$597.26+1.49%

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Regeln

If OpenSea launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing.
  • This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value.
  • NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline.
  • If MetaMask launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If Exponent launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.