Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Google 56%+9.0%Führend unter 14 Optionen
Marktqualitat
80 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
520,7 €
Liquidität
64.224,5 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
54.0% / 58.0%
Spread
7.4%
Mittlerer Spread7d-Änderung
-1.0%
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 8 Minuten
30. Apr. 26, 19:3031. Dez. 26, 0:00
Trends
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Google56%
Auch verfügbar auf Kalshi
Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?
1.0%6Mon
-1.0%19%
-5.0%20%
-2.0%48%
+9 weitere Ergebnisse
28 • Niedrige QualitätBreiter SpreadNiedrige LiquiditätDünner Markt
Gesamtvolumen2228,6 €
24h-Volumen6 €
KALSHIRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
- The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/.
- If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available.
Wahrscheinlichkeiten können aufgrund unterschiedlicher Marktstrukturen, Gebühren und Teilnehmerpools abweichen.
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed company has the highest arena rank based on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- Results from the "Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- If a listed model ties for #1 Arena rank, it will suffice to resolve this market to "Yes."
- The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/.
- If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available.