KalshiVerfügbarkeit prüfenKYC erforderlich2% GebührVerifizierte AuflösungsdatenOrdentlich kalibriertAktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
OpenAI 32.1%-9.0ptFührend unter 12 OptionenMargenbereinigt: Die Rohquoten summierten sich auf über 100 % und wurden normalisiert.
Marktqualitat
76 / 100
Hohe Qualität24h-Volumen
3761,8 €
Liquidität
120.592,4 €
Hohe LiquiditätSpread
1.0 pt
Enger SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 12 Minuten
1. Jan. 26, 05:01 UTC1. Jan. 27, 15:00 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketWhich company has the best Text Arena Math AI model end of October?
PolymarketWill an AI model using neuralese recurrence be first released to the public before 2027?
KalshiWill a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
KalshiTop AI Model 2026 (Epoch Capabilities Index, ECI)
Manifold MarketsRegeln
If Meta has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Abwicklung über:LM Arena Leaderboard (Remove Style Controls)
- If Nvidia has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If xAI has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Mistral has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Deepseek has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alibaba has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Vergleich von Prognosequellen
Offene Märkte
AIKALSHIWhat will Trump say during The Ingraham Angle?
- Tariff99%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence99%
- Fake News99%
+24 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 94.203 €
- 24h-Volumen
- 94.202 €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+2.2pt67.7%
- ChatGPT-4.8pt15.7%
- Gemini-0.4pt6.9%
+5 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 9,3 Mio. €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+1.5pt91%
- December 15,+4.5pt90%
- November 30,+5.5pt89%
+7 weitere Ergebnisse
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+8.0pt89.4%
- Muse+1.0pt2.9%
- ChatGPT-8.0pt1.9%
+4 weitere Ergebnisse
- Gesamtvolumen
- 416.342,5 €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-64.6pt3%
- 1490+-39.9pt1%
- 1500+-25.4pt1%
+2 weitere Ergebnisse
POLYMARKETAI lab announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- 2027-3.0pt85%
- 2026+1.5pt73%
- September 30, 2026-4.5pt39%
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- Which Millennium Prize Problem will AI solve next?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic market share this week
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- DeepSeek market share this week
Häufige Fragen
- Wie stehen die aktuellen Quoten für Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year??
- Kalshi bewertet OpenAI mit 32% (Stand: 12. September 2026).
- Wann wird Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year? entschieden?
- Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year? soll am 1. Januar 2027 entschieden werden.
- Wie wird Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year? abgerechnet?
- Kalshi rechnet diesen Markt wie folgt ab: If Meta has a #1 ranked AI model before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Wo wird Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year? außerdem gelistet?
- Dieselbe Frage wird auch auf Polymarket gelistet.