Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
Moonshot AI 2%Führend unter 9 Optionen
Marktqualitat
64 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
1517,8 €
Liquidität
574.006,6 €
Hohe LiquiditätGeld / Brief
1.0% / 2.0%
Spread
100.0%
Breiter SpreadMarktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 21 Minuten
3. Jan. 26, 15:0031. Dez. 26, 15:00
Trends
Nur virtuelles Guthaben – kein echtes GeldKeine Finanzberatung
Gewähltes Ergebnis
Moonshot AI2%
Große Trades
$1.0k99.0%
KALSHIMoonshot AI — Novor 9 Std.
KALSHIMoonshot AI — Novor 9 Std.Volumentrend
$1.7k2. Juli25T Daten26. Juli
Verwandte Märkte
Best AI at the end of 2026?
17.242,9 €Claude: 64%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?
10.330,8 €1525: 100%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will a Chinese company have a top ___ AI model by December 31?
627,7 €#10: 96%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
AI capability growth this year?
486,7 €At least 1520 score: 37%KALSHI
KALSHI
Will a Chinese AI model be #1 this year?
278,8 €Ja: 17%KALSHI
KALSHI
In 2028, Will it be obvious that software engineers aren't being 10x more productive than in 2022?
219,7 €Ja: 19.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSIn diesen Themen aktiv
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If OpenAI has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Anthropic has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Alibaba has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If xAI has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If DeepSeek has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Google has the top-ranked model on LiveBench.ai ranked by "Coding Average" on Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.