Aktuelle Community-Prognose
Anthropic 58.2%+0.4ptFührend unter 12 Optionen
Prognostiker
24
Fragetyp
multiple choice
Methodik
Play-money forecasting platform
Quellentyp
Prognose
7d-Änderung
+0.4 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 9 Stunden
Veraltet5. Jan. 26, 08:15 UTC31. Dez. 26, 23:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will xAI be #1 on Artificial Analysis Index by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsOpen Weights text-to-image model with Elo ≥ 1200 on Artificial Analysis by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill an Open Weights Model be #1 on the Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index in 2026
Manifold Marketstop model on artificial analysis is a anthropic model by the end of the month?
Manifold MarketsWhen will AI score above 65 on Artificial Analysis Intelligence Index?
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model end of October?
PolymarketRegeln
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves based on the Artificial Analysis LLM Leaderboard, which ranks the performance of AI models across key metrics including intelligence, price, performance and speed.
- The company with the highest-ranked model on the leaderboard as of December 31, 2026 wins.
- Resolution will be determined by checking https://artificialanalysis.ai/leaderboards/models date.
- As of December 2025, Gemini 3 Pro from Google is consolidating its position as the global leader, while Claude Opus 4.5 and GPT-5.2 are competing on coding and reasoning.
- DeepSeek V3.2 is reshuffling the economic landscape with unbeatable costs.