Aktuelle implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit
1560 39%+0.5ptFührend unter 3 Optionen
Marktqualitat
60 / 100
Mittlere Qualität24h-Volumen
559,2 €
Liquidität
7921,5 €
Mittlere LiquiditätSpread
2.0 pt
Enger SpreadKommentare
0
7d-Änderung
+9.0 pts
Marktdaten
Aktualisiert vor 13 Minuten
2. Apr. 26, 22:12 UTC1. Jan. 27, 04:59 UTC
Trends
Verwandte Märkte
Verwandte Fragen als Kontext, kein Vergleich gleichwertiger Kontrakte.
Will any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?
PolymarketWill any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by December 31?
PolymarketGemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
KalshiWhich company has the best AI model on LiveBench (Coding) end of October?
PolymarketIf Fable 5.1 is listed on arena.ai on September 14th will it have a higher agent arena score than Fable 5?
Manifold MarketsWhich AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegeln
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Arena.AI Leaderboard (arena.ai/leaderboard/text) reaches at least the specified Arena Score on the "Leaderboard" tab for "Coding" by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Results from the "Score" column under the "Text Arena | Coding" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/coding-no-style-control with style control off will be used to resolve this market.
- The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at arena.ai/leaderboard/text.
- If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available.
- If permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".